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Prediction markets for Lost

Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least one known lost work (>= 1k words) by 2030?

Oct 15, 11:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.47%chance

5013718

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4838

836

Will $1mn USD worth of funds be lost as a result of fraud committed by Binance? (Before 2030)

May 23, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

2210303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

547

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.55%chance

261714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

926

Will a person get lost in space by 2035?

Sep 13, 10:33 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM

16.68%chance

241258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

907

Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?

Sep 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

18944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

869

Will at least 3 F-35s be lost by the US in 2026

Jan 29, 5:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.76%chance

11756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

796

Will the Slamfest '99 lost media be found by the end of 2026? (Super Smash Bros promotion event)

Oct 21, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.13%chance

7525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?

Jul 7, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.55%chance

19454

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

921

Will any notable lost art be recovered by the end of 2029?

Sep 5, 5:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.96%chance

13325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

922

Will any known Beatles song be lost by the year 3000?

Mar 14, 4:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.81%chance

896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

187

Will $1mn USD worth of funds be lost as a result of fraud committed by KuCoin? (Before 2030)

May 31, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.43%chance

445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

91

89

Which pieces of lost media will be found by 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 4, 2:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

114

OptionProbability

Any missing Dr Who episode

lol superman (alleged graphic 9/11 footage)

London After Midnight (1927 silent movie)

The Mountain Eagle (Alfred Hitchcock movie)

50

50

38

38

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