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Prediction markets for Love

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Apr 10, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

806436

OptionProbability

Sa Stock

Selena Stock

Alyssa Stock

Other

80

12

7

2

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

Feb 15, 1:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.09%chance

314914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3643

799

Will it be possible to get GPT-5 to say "I love racism"?

Mar 14, 9:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

89.73%chance

454104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1297

939

Will BasedBeffJezos fall in love, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 2, 11:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.24%chance

22980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3579

279

By 2028, will Aella announce she's in love with an AI boyfriend?

Feb 16, 9:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

7.31%chance

201250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1967

852

Will gwern and AellaGirl finally make love?

Jan 7, 9:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.35%chance

181169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1955

862

Female AI love bot: ChadGPT

Jan 28, 4:28 PMJun 16, 6:59 AM

59.52%chance

19788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

853

Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?

Jan 7, 9:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.23%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

942

Will AI "love bots/virtual girlfriends" be good enough to reduce the % of "unwarranted male attention" by 50% by 2027?

Feb 23, 9:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.82%chance

18508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

944

Will python mojo be successful (>50% loved on SO survey) by end of 2025?

May 23, 10:22 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

24.48%chance

11331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

917

Will "Loving a world you don’t trust" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 10:31 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

39.26%chance

4270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1213

305

Will "Love stays loved (formerly "Skin")" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 19, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.38%chance

276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

757

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