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Prediction markets for Machine Economy

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

956

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.1%chance

442875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

946

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.08%chance

161027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

977

In what year will we confirm that there is a "machine economy"?

Nov 12, 5:02 AMNov 19, 3:59 PM

4903

OptionProbability

Other

2026

2027

2028

2025

2023

2024

26

19

19

19

16

1

1

More valuable company in 2040?

Dec 22, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

Safe Super Intelligence

Thinking Machines

53

47

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

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