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Puffer Finance Breach and Apple Patch Highlight Spike in Crypto Threats

1 year ago

Apple Releases Eighth Developer Betas and Fifth Public Betas Ahead of iPhone 17 Launch in September

Software

Tech

Apple Releases Eighth Developer Betas and Fifth Public Betas Ahead of iPhone 17 Launch in September

1 year ago

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Jun 11, 10:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.61%chance

215130

OptionVotes

YES

1716

648

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

Sep 21, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.78%chance

21050

OptionVotes

YES

2050

488

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.45%chance

5855

OptionVotes

YES

1853

540

Will Apple fix its IP address leaks before 2028?

Aug 31, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.58%chance

10824

OptionVotes

YES

1380

724

Will OpenAI and Anthropic both have moved off Unix-based operating systems by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 12:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.85%chance

16754

OptionVotes

YES

322

211

Will Valve Release a MacOS port of CS2 by the end of 2027.

Jan 25, 8:23 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

13.11%chance

8585

OptionVotes

YES

279

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Nov 26, 6:21 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

8494

OptionProbability

>= 8x optical zoom

>= 12 GB RAM

>= 6.85" display

a Thunderbolt 4 or USB4 port

>= 3 high-performance cores

>= 130% mAh battery of next-tier iPhone

greater optical zoom than next-tier iPhone

more high-performance cores than next-tier iPhone

2 TB storage option

>= 1.5x RAM of next-tier iPhone

Special LLM capabilities (e.g. extra cache for LLM weights near a Neural Engine)

>= 1.5x transistors of next-tier iPhone

No physical buttons https://www.macrumors.com/2025/10/28/20th-anniversary-iphone-solid-state-buttons/

officially supports a desktop-like experience when used with external displays (~same web app experience as MacOS Safari)

a Thunderbolt 3 port

special LLM capabilities beyond next-tier iPhone. Just 2x inference volume wouldn't count.

split-screen multi-tasking

more external buttons than next-tier iPhone

a Quantum Random Number Generator (QRNG) chip

>= 2 USB-C ports

Touch ID

officially supports dual-booting MacOS

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Nov 27, 10:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

6480

OptionVotes

YES

1356

737

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

May 10, 12:31 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

17.75%chance

4420

OptionVotes

YES

746

172

Apple to un-hide terminal by EOY 2027

Feb 19, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.81%chance

3349

OptionVotes

YES

231

Will Blizzard create an Apple Silicon-native version of the Battle.net desktop app by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.95%chance

5229

OptionVotes

YES

299

What will be the name of macOS 28?

Jul 6, 9:06 PMJun 7, 6:59 AM

694

OptionProbability

Other

Redwood

Mammoth

Tiburon

Miramar

Rincon

Shasta

Skyline

Pacific

Farallon

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Prediction markets for macOS

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Prediction markets for macOS

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Will Apple fix its IP address leaks before 2028?

Will OpenAI and Anthropic both have moved off Unix-based operating systems by end of 2027?

Will Valve Release a MacOS port of CS2 by the end of 2027.

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

Apple to un-hide terminal by EOY 2027

Will Blizzard create an Apple Silicon-native version of the Battle.net desktop app by the end of 2027?

What will be the name of macOS 28?

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