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Puffer Finance Breach and Apple Patch Highlight Spike in Crypto Threats

7 months ago

Apple Releases Eighth Developer Betas and Fifth Public Betas Ahead of iPhone 17 Launch in September

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Tech

Apple Releases Eighth Developer Betas and Fifth Public Betas Ahead of iPhone 17 Launch in September

7 months ago

Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?

Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

94.22%chance

157143

OptionVotes

YES

4036

248

Can the Macbook Neo boot unsigned payloads?

Mar 4, 3:34 PMApr 3, 2:28 PM

92.63%chance

366756

OptionVotes

YES

3545

282

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Jun 11, 10:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.68%chance

174059

OptionVotes

YES

1204

929

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

Jan 17, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

6605

OptionVotes

YES

954

180

Will Valve Release a MacOS port of CS2 by the end of 2027.

Jan 25, 8:23 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

13.1%chance

7565

OptionVotes

YES

279

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.7%chance

4555

OptionVotes

YES

1553

644

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Nov 27, 10:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.38%chance

5475

OptionVotes

YES

1351

740

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Nov 26, 6:21 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

6431

OptionProbability

>= 6.85" display

>= 8x optical zoom

a Thunderbolt 4 or USB4 port

>= 3 high-performance cores

>= 130% mAh battery of next-tier iPhone

greater optical zoom than next-tier iPhone

more high-performance cores than next-tier iPhone

Special LLM capabilities (e.g. extra cache for LLM weights near a Neural Engine)

2 TB storage option

>= 1.5x RAM of next-tier iPhone

>= 12 GB RAM

>= 1.5x transistors of next-tier iPhone

No physical buttons https://www.macrumors.com/2025/10/28/20th-anniversary-iphone-solid-state-buttons/

officially supports a desktop-like experience when used with external displays (~same web app experience as MacOS Safari)

a Thunderbolt 3 port

a Quantum Random Number Generator (QRNG) chip

special LLM capabilities beyond next-tier iPhone. Just 2x inference volume wouldn't count.

split-screen multi-tasking

more external buttons than next-tier iPhone

>= 2 USB-C ports

Touch ID

officially supports dual-booting MacOS

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

May 10, 12:31 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

17.75%chance

4420

OptionVotes

YES

746

172

Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?

Mar 22, 3:26 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

49.18%chance

9376

OptionVotes

YES

1017

984

Native Gemini macOS app release

Dec 2, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2310

OptionProbability

Before August 2026

Before July 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

Before April 2026

Before January 2026

Before February 2026

Before March 2026

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

Sep 21, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

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Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?

Can the Macbook Neo boot unsigned payloads?

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

Will Valve Release a MacOS port of CS2 by the end of 2027.

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?

Native Gemini macOS app release

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

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