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Prediction markets for Made in the USA
OptionVotes
2438
1224
Will Google join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
Aug 30, 1:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.3%chance
404938
OptionVotes
1632
613
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
Aug 30, 1:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.75%chance
414079
OptionVotes
2152
465
Will any large company leave the United States because of AI regulations? (2025)
Jun 12, 5:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
163356
OptionProbability
90
4
3
2
Will the USA's population ever drop below 100 million by the end of 2025?
Jan 5, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1%chance
183187
OptionVotes
3483
916
Will Meta join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
Aug 30, 1:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.56%chance
292774
OptionVotes
1966
509
Will Far-UVC Become a Partisan Issue in the US by 2027?
Mar 14, 9:24 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
14.66%chance
91692
OptionVotes
2412
415
Will Rory Stewart be a UK ambassador to any country by end of 2035?
Apr 16, 10:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM
21.13%chance
221622
OptionVotes
1555
782
Will the UK 🇬🇧 sign a free trade deal with the USA 🇺🇸 before 2028?
Mar 17, 9:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76.59%chance
13632
OptionVotes
369
75
OptionProbability
150
67
If leaked, what will the "pro-American, and also a gambling reference" code name be for Anduril's USA-made laptop?
Jul 24, 3:02 AMJan 1, 4:00 AM
226
OptionProbability
59
41
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
52.09%chance
215
OptionVotes
104
96