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Prediction markets for Made in USA

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

1224

Will Google join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?

Aug 30, 1:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.3%chance

404938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1632

613

Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?

Aug 30, 1:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.75%chance

414079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2152

465

Will the USA's population ever drop below 100 million by the end of 2025?

Jan 5, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

183187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3483

916

Will Meta join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?

Aug 30, 1:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.56%chance

292774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

509

Will Far-UVC Become a Partisan Issue in the US by 2027?

Mar 14, 9:24 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

14.66%chance

91692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

415

Will Rory Stewart be a UK ambassador to any country by end of 2035?

Apr 16, 10:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

21.13%chance

221622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1555

782

Will the UK 🇬🇧 sign a free trade deal with the USA 🇺🇸 before 2028?

Mar 17, 9:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.59%chance

13632

OptionVotes

NO

YES

369

75

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.14%chance

9129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Redeemed zoomer stock (permanent)

Aug 19, 1:28 PM

351

OptionProbability

NO

YES

150

67

If leaked, what will the "pro-American, and also a gambling reference" code name be for Anduril's USA-made laptop?

Jul 24, 3:02 AMJan 1, 4:00 AM

226

OptionProbability

Other

Omaha

59

41

Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026

Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

52.09%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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