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Prediction markets for Made in USA

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

1224

Will Google join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?

Aug 30, 1:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.86%chance

425502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2144

466

Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?

Aug 30, 1:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.45%chance

424579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2652

377

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM

214439

OptionProbability

Shapiro is subpoenaed to testify before Congress, the FBI, or another agency of the Federal government

Shapiro is indicted by a grand jury

Shapiro is brought to trial

Shapiro is arrested

Shapiro is found guilty of involvement with the plot

21

6

6

5

3

Will any large company leave the United States because of AI regulations? (2025)

Jun 12, 5:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

164156

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Move employees elsewhere

Move model training or inference elsewhere

Completely leave

94

2

2

1

Will Far-UVC Become a Partisan Issue in the US by 2027?

Mar 14, 9:24 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

14.56%chance

91702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2422

413

Will Rory Stewart be a UK ambassador to any country by end of 2035?

Apr 16, 10:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

21.13%chance

221622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1555

782

Kalshi "USA confirms aliens" YES, but Polymarket NO?

Oct 13, 8:12 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

5.29%chance

5956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

646

115

Will the UK 🇬🇧 sign a free trade deal with the USA 🇺🇸 before 2028?

Mar 17, 9:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

13677

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

120

Redeemed zoomer stock (permanent)

Aug 19, 1:28 PM

368

OptionProbability

NO

YES

167

60

If leaked, what will the "pro-American, and also a gambling reference" code name be for Anduril's USA-made laptop?

Jul 24, 3:02 AMJan 1, 4:00 AM

226

OptionProbability

Other

Omaha

59

41

Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026

Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

52.09%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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