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Prediction markets for Made on YouTube
OptionVotes
3512
1821
How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, High Resolution
May 27, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
173115651
OptionProbability
35
24
10
7
7
5
4
4
2
2
0
0
How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, Low Resolution
May 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
201114340
OptionProbability
73
17
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
1479
938
Will Logan Paul spend at least 1 month in prison before the end of 2027?
Dec 29, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.29%chance
253704
OptionVotes
3256
597
OptionProbability
564
500
Idubbbz and Anisa divorce official before January 1st 2027
Mar 27, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.31%chance
61954
OptionVotes
2950
339
In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?
Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
41.9%chance
451869
OptionVotes
1147
717
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.36%chance
321716
OptionVotes
1191
841
OptionProbability
42
42
5
4
3
2
1
1
1
By 2030, will AI tech be powerful enough to automate a YouTube channel?
Mar 25, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.34%chance
191242
OptionVotes
1371
942
Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?
Oct 21, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17753
OptionProbability
100
100
100
76
75
71
69
68
66
66
62
59
59
59
58
58
56
55
54
53
53
51
50
50
50
48
46
45
41
37
0


