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Prediction markets for Magic AI

Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.71%chance

6641832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4386

292

In what specific year will we hit AGI?

Mar 12, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7510702

OptionProbability

2029

2030

2028

2035+

2031

2027

2032

2033

2026

2034

2025

18

16

14

14

10

9

7

5

4

3

0

Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.09%chance

6710247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1670

331

Will AI be passable at answering Magic: The Gathering rules questions before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:21 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

88.8%chance

438013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1460

886

The US becomes much more like Shadowrun by the end of 2029

Jan 1, 3:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

2274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

802

Will a commenter post a link to a video showing Micah Lasher doing a magic trick?

Jun 25, 9:12 PMJul 2, 9:09 PM

24%chance

5176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

NBA 2K25, who will win? All Time Lakers VS All Time Bulls?

Jun 25, 7:15 PMJun 27, 7:11 PM

00

OptionProbability

All-Time Lakers

All-Time Bulls

Game ends in a draw (Requires OT simulation)

Simulation does not occur

25

25

25

25

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

Which AI gave the best response to the White Lotus meme?

Mar 19, 10:01 AM

470

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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