OptionProbability
By 12-31-2028
By 9-30-2028
By 6-30-2028
By 3-31-2028
By 12-31-2027
By 9-30-2027
By 6-30-2027
By 3-31-2027
By 12-31-2026
By 9-30-2026
By 12-31-2025
By 3-31-2026
By 6-30-2026
62
56
52
45
41
35
27
13
5
1
0
Copper reaches a new all-time high
A Premier League player scores a hat-trick
Any Magnificent Seven stock moves ≥10% in a single trading day
Anthropic publicly releases a new named Claude model
A movie grosses at least $100 million worldwide during September
Google publicly releases a new named Gemini model
SpaceX conducts an orbital Starship launch
S&P 500 closes at a new all-time high
A newly released song reaches #1 on Spotify Global
Bitcoin trades above $90,000
A magnitude 7.0+ earthquake occurs anywhere in the world
A song debuts at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100
Bitcoin trades below $70,000
100
99
87
80
71
24
16
3
30-40%
40-50%
20-30%
<20%
50%-60%
60%-70%
>70%
48
25
10
6
4
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
