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Top stories

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Authors

10

8 months ago

Prediction markets for MAI

When will MNX mainnet launch?

Feb 18, 9:37 PMDec 31, 9:35 PM

3656278

OptionProbability

Other

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

June 2026

May 2026

March 2026

April 2026

26

22

18

17

12

3

1

1

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3722802

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

Not before 2030

2026

2025 or earlier

38

27

18

8

7

1

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Sep 15, 12:29 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

10.46%chance

509178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5454

1020

Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?

Jan 12, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

286266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

777

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

43.81%chance

284965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10585

9510

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - which 5 of these die first? 100% = die

Nov 18, 1:18 AMNov 25, 7:59 AM

153184

OptionProbability

3 Bees Coffee

Curry Up Now

Pokeatery

B Street Books

Daeho kalbijjim

McGovern's

Philz Coffee

Sushi Yoshimizu

Saigon City

Takahashi Market

New York Pizza

Izakaya Mai

Mortar & Pestle Bar

O'Neills Irish Pub

Pacific Catch

Gyu-Kaku

Tomatina

Himawari

Pausa

Pancho Villa

47

36

36

36

34

34

29

29

29

29

28

28

27

25

25

23

23

17

16

11

Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?

Mar 26, 6:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.83%chance

893093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1791

1194

Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?

Apr 14, 2:34 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

61.19%chance

131039

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1256

796

Which Justice Democrat backed non-incumbents will win their primaries?

Apr 4, 7:19 PMSep 8, 11:59 PM

9440

OptionProbability

Claire Valdez (NY-07)

Chris Rabb (PA-03)

Saikat Chakrabarti (CA-11)

Mai Vang (CA-07)

Angela Golzales-Torres (CA-34)

Adam Hamawy (NJ-12)

Justin J. Pearson (TN-09)

Donovan McKinney (MI-13)

Cori Bush (MO-01)

Darializa Avila Chevalier (NY-13)

Melat Kiros (CO-01)

78

77

75

67

67

55

55

40

28

28

26

San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - next to die?

Nov 19, 1:43 PMNov 25, 7:59 AM

240

OptionProbability

B Street Books

3 Bees Coffee

Pokeatery

O'Neills Irish Pub

Philz Coffee

Curry Up Now

Mortar & Pestle Bar

New York Pizza

Izakaya Mai

Daeho kalbijjim

Himawari

Pacific Catch

Gyu-Kaku

Pausa

McGovern's

Tomatina

Pancho Villa

Sushi Yoshimizu

Saigon City

Takahashi Market

27

6

6

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - 2nd to die? 100% means die 😁

Nov 19, 1:45 PMNov 25, 7:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

Pokeatery

3 Bees Coffee

O'Neills Irish Pub

Philz Coffee

Curry Up Now

Mortar & Pestle Bar

New York Pizza

Izakaya Mai

Daeho kalbijjim

Himawari

Pacific Catch

Gyu-Kaku

Pausa

McGovern's

Tomatina

Pancho Villa

Sushi Yoshimizu

Saigon City

B Street Books

Takahashi Market

12

11

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI
Authors
10
8 months ago

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