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Top stories

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Authors

10

5 months ago

Prediction markets for MAI

2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Maine?

Aug 19, 8:24 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

8184838

OptionProbability

Graham Platner

Janet Mills

Other

Ryan Fecteau

Cathy Breen

Aaron Frey

Jordan Wood

62

37

1

0

0

0

0

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3621650

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2026

Not before 2030

2025 or earlier

39

26

17

9

8

1

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Oct 3, 3:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.26%chance

16418067

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2084

410

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Sep 15, 12:29 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.19%chance

498628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4904

1090

Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?

Jan 12, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

233903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

952

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.44%chance

213540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - which 5 of these die first? 100% = die

Nov 18, 1:18 AMNov 25, 7:59 AM

153184

OptionProbability

3 Bees Coffee

Curry Up Now

Pokeatery

B Street Books

Daeho kalbijjim

McGovern's

Philz Coffee

Sushi Yoshimizu

Saigon City

Takahashi Market

New York Pizza

Izakaya Mai

Mortar & Pestle Bar

O'Neills Irish Pub

Pacific Catch

Gyu-Kaku

Tomatina

Himawari

Pausa

Pancho Villa

47

36

36

36

34

34

29

29

29

29

28

28

27

25

25

23

23

17

16

11

Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?

Mar 26, 6:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.93%chance

862837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

1371

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

45.04%chance

181847

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10307

9733

Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?

Jan 7, 9:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.79%chance

12954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

803

San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - next to die?

Nov 19, 1:43 PMNov 25, 7:59 AM

240

OptionProbability

B Street Books

3 Bees Coffee

Pokeatery

O'Neills Irish Pub

Philz Coffee

Curry Up Now

Mortar & Pestle Bar

New York Pizza

Izakaya Mai

Daeho kalbijjim

Himawari

Pacific Catch

Gyu-Kaku

Pausa

McGovern's

Tomatina

Pancho Villa

Sushi Yoshimizu

Saigon City

Takahashi Market

27

6

6

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - 2nd to die? 100% means die 😁

Nov 19, 1:45 PMNov 25, 7:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

Pokeatery

3 Bees Coffee

O'Neills Irish Pub

Philz Coffee

Curry Up Now

Mortar & Pestle Bar

New York Pizza

Izakaya Mai

Daeho kalbijjim

Himawari

Pacific Catch

Gyu-Kaku

Pausa

McGovern's

Tomatina

Pancho Villa

Sushi Yoshimizu

Saigon City

B Street Books

Takahashi Market

12

11

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI
Authors
10
5 months ago

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