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Prediction markets for Mail

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

35.78%chance

4912818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12673

8134

Will the mail-in ballot restriction go into effect for the 2026 election?

Sep 10, 11:56 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

10.34%chance

214327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2944

340

Will USPS reject at least 100,000 mail ballots due to Trump's executive order in 2026?

Sep 1, 10:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.88%chance

91472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1947

514

Mail-in ballots eliminated by 2026 midterms?

Aug 19, 3:40 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

2%chance

61413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

A way to set up an LLM to send and receive physical mail by mid 2029

Mar 8, 6:58 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

70.74%chance

5555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1555

643

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

37%chance

3305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Will USPS raise retail stamp rates for a US domestic First-Class Mail Letter (1 oz) to $1 or more by the end of 2030?

Dec 15, 2:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.96%chance

10297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

114

Will X Mail launch by the end of 2026?

Dec 16, 6:24 AMDec 24, 4:59 AM

36.92%chance

7149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

77

How many new states will implement all-mail voting in all elections before the 2032 presidential election?

Aug 31, 5:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6131

OptionProbability

0

1

2

6+

3

4

5

50

13

11

9

7

5

5

Physical mail filtering company exists in US 2029

Jul 19, 5:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.42%chance

7117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

151

Will X Mail launch by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.08%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will you still be able to buy crypto anonymously via cash in the mail on LocalCoinSwap at the start of 2030?

May 11, 7:02 AMJan 3, 4:59 AM

43.58%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

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