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Prediction markets for Main Event

Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029?

Jun 22, 4:40 AMJan 1, 10:43 PM

23.57%chance

282537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1059

957

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

🃏Which players will win the World Series of Poker Main event at least once before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 30, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51350

OptionProbability

Daniel Negreanu

Niklas Astedt

Linus Loeliger

Ben Yu

Isaac Haxton

Rainer Kempe

Phil Ivey

Sean Winter

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

2

Will CGP Grey's 1 billion views Q&A video include a question about prediction markets?

Mar 29, 12:53 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

38.3%chance

23524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

832

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.4%chance

5404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

542

41

What will be the main event of WrestleMania 42, Night 2 (2026)?

Jul 8, 2:20 PMApr 19, 10:59 PM

2200

OptionProbability

Other

Cody Rhodes vs. Logan Paul

Logan Paul vs. Mr. Beast

Cody Rhodes vs. Gunther

77

11

9

3

Will a woman make the final table at the 2026 World Series of Poker main event?

Jun 3, 2:42 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

10.83%chance

5187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

35

What month (starting Jan 2023) will the next Dresden Files book (Twelve Months) come out?

Jul 25, 3:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

78.42%chance

3142

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2606

2433

Will Cody Rhodes compete in either main event match at Wrestlemania 42?

Apr 21, 4:08 AMMay 1, 4:59 AM

71.91%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

63

What will be the main event of WrestleMania 42, Night 1 (2026)?

Jul 8, 2:19 PMApr 19, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Cody Rhodes vs. Gunther

Logan Paul vs. Mr. Beast

Cody Rhodes vs. Logan Paul

Other

40

20

20

20

Will Super Smash Bros Melee be played in EVO as a main event again before the end of 2030?

May 2, 5:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.52%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Whos winning UFC 302 Main Event ?

May 30, 9:10 PM

90

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