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Prediction markets for Mainnet

Official Labubu NFT collection on Ethereum by 2025?

Aug 2, 1:38 PMJan 1, 2:41 AM

21.1%chance

131080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1934

517

"The Verge": Fully SNARKed Ethereum by 2027-02-06?

Nov 6, 7:14 PMFeb 5, 11:59 PM

47.32%chance

15739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

879

"The Verge": When will Ethereum use Verkle trees?

Dec 12, 1:56 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

5667

OptionProbability

By 2027-12-31

By 2028-12-31

By 2026-12-31

By 2025-12-31

By 2024-04-01

By 2024-07-01

By 2024-10-01

By 2025-01-01

By 2025-04-01

By 2025-07-01

50

50

5

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

"The Splurge": When will EVM Object Format be added to mainnet?

Dec 31, 11:04 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

4492

OptionProbability

By 2026-01-01

By 2024-04-01

By 2024-07-01

By 2025-01-01

21

0

0

0

"The Purge": When will Ethereum implement state expiry?

Dec 12, 2:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1478

OptionProbability

By 2026-01-01

By 2024-04-01

By 2024-07-01

By 2024-10-01

By 2025-01-01

2

0

0

0

0

Will Ethereum hard fork Fusaka include EOF?

Apr 26, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:44 AM

4.41%chance

5413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

21

What fraction of ETH will be staked on 2028-01-01 in the following scenarios?

Apr 3, 11:21 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3132

OptionProbability

No staking ratio target is live on mainnet before 2026-01-01

Any scenario

A staking ratio target is live on mainnet before 2026-01-01

63

46

29

How many Ethereum hard forks in 2026?

Nov 14, 4:40 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

2110

OptionProbability

1

2

0

Above 2

47

31

11

11

"The Surge": Will Ethereum use 2D Reed-Solomon Codes by these dates?

Nov 30, 5:27 AMJan 1, 5:26 AM

260

OptionProbability

2028-01-01

2027-01-01

2026-07-01

2026-01-01

50

37

28

22

Lighter.xyz token trades above $10B FDV within 7 days of launch

Oct 4, 12:48 AMJan 1, 1:47 AM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Will Ethereum have easily tradeable tokenized NYSE stocks by end of 2030?

Dec 16, 3:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

76.42%chance

340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

28

Will Ethereum replace the EVM with RISC-V?

Apr 21, 3:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

315

OptionProbability

by 2029-01-01?

by 2030-01-01?

by 2028-01-01?

by 2027-01-01?

48

48

46

33

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