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Manager Mode News
Prediction markets for Manager Mode
Prediction markets for Manager Mode
Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.
Dec 24, 3:53 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
28.73%
chance
19
813
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1011
916
Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?
Nov 11, 11:36 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
60.64%
chance
4
58
Option
Votes
NO
YES
124
81
The Business Benefits of Mobile Entertainment Attractions
Aug 5, 10:18 AM
Dec 31, 10:17 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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