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Manager Mode News
Prediction markets for Manager Mode
Prediction markets for Manager Mode
Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.
Dec 24, 3:53 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
27.15%
chance
17
792
Option
Votes
NO
YES
990
970
Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?
Nov 11, 11:36 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
56.48%
chance
4
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
114
88
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