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Prediction markets for Maps

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

90.45%chance

4510331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3077

325

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.43%chance

193609

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4117

243

Will AI be able to generate a realistic map of the US with all 50 states labeled correctly (no typos) by EOY 2026?

Aug 12, 10:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.53%chance

17563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

150

Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?

Aug 14, 1:20 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

88.72%chance

10464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

619

70

Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps)

Feb 14, 9:04 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

79.99%chance

11344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Scream Fortress 2026 have 6 or more new maps? [Team Fortress 2] [TF2]

Oct 13, 7:09 AMOct 21, 6:59 AM

23.26%chance

9215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

332

134

Will the 2040 electoral map differ from 2020 more than 2020 differed from 2000?

Dec 13, 5:37 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

67.89%chance

9141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

110

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will there be a Grand Theft Auto or Midtown Madness clone based on the real world in Google Maps by 2028?

Oct 4, 2:35 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

56.57%chance

745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

146

[Metaculus] Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

Nov 7, 2:29 PMJun 2, 7:00 AM

57.75%chance

210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Fundamental Development Gap Map stay relevant and updated by 2027?

Apr 20, 4:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.41%chance

27

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

Will Jose Luis Ricon get a QEEG brain mapping FOR SCIENCE by EOY2026

Oct 27, 10:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

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