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Prediction markets for Maps

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

96.27%chance

4814989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5079

197

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97%chance

245359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5686

176

Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?

Aug 14, 1:20 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

96.08%chance

124831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

39

How many seats will this election map be wrong on?

Jun 22, 1:21 PMOct 30, 1:17 PM

10912

OptionProbability

4

6

3

5

7

2

11 or more

1

0

9

10

8

17

12

11

11

11

10

10

7

4

3

3

2

Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 11:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

4.62%chance

13501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

454

22

Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029?

Aug 20, 2:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

18423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

87

How many seats will our model's most-likely Senate map be wrong on?

Jun 26, 4:26 AMNov 3, 5:00 AM

9285

OptionProbability

2

4

3

1

5

11 or more

0

6

7

8

9

10

15

13

12

11

10

9

7

6

6

4

4

4

Will Google maps stop following China's law which requires misaligning the satellite layer? By 2039

Mar 5, 1:57 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

24%chance

6134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

130

When will Microsoft Copilot come up with a plausible looking world language map?

Feb 26, 8:17 PMDec 31, 8:15 PM

7127

OptionProbability

after 2036

2027

2028-9

2030-2032

2033-2036

2026

Other

31

13

13

13

13

10

8

Callais: Which of these states will use a new congressional map for 2026?

Apr 29, 8:43 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

2110

OptionProbability

Louisiana

Georgia

Alabama

Mississippi

South Carolina

Tennessee

72

60

24

24

24

24

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will Jose Luis Ricon get a QEEG brain mapping FOR SCIENCE by EOY2026

Oct 27, 10:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

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