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Prediction markets for Maps

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

96.31%chance

4613282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5109

196

Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?

Aug 14, 1:20 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

96%chance

114821

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

39

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.46%chance

204111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4583

218

Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 11:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.46%chance

11355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

32

Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps)

Feb 14, 9:04 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

79.99%chance

11344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will the 2040 electoral map differ from 2020 more than 2020 differed from 2000?

Dec 13, 5:37 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

67.89%chance

9141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

110

Callais: Which of these states will use a new congressional map for 2026?

Apr 29, 8:43 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

2110

OptionProbability

Louisiana

Georgia

Alabama

Mississippi

South Carolina

Tennessee

72

60

24

24

24

24

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will there be a Grand Theft Auto or Midtown Madness clone based on the real world in Google Maps by 2028?

Oct 4, 2:35 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

56.57%chance

745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

146

Will it be possible to play a simcopter or streets of SimCity or GTA based on cities skylines 2 maps by 2029?

Mar 19, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.2%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

100

82

[Metaculus] Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

Nov 7, 2:29 PMJun 2, 7:00 AM

57.75%chance

210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Fundamental Development Gap Map stay relevant and updated by 2027?

Apr 20, 4:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.41%chance

27

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

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