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Prediction markets for Maps

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

97%chance

4714380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5686

176

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.18%chance

214118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4445

225

How many seats will this election map be wrong on?

Jun 23, 4:57 AMDec 1, 3:57 AM

91567

OptionProbability

6

1

5

3

2

4

8

11 or more

7

9

0

10

13

11

10

9

8

8

8

8

7

7

6

5

Will AI be able to generate a realistic map of the US with all 50 states labeled correctly (no typos) by EOY 2026?

Aug 12, 10:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.53%chance

17563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

150

Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 11:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

4.82%chance

12491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

444

22

Will the 2040 electoral map differ from 2020 more than 2020 differed from 2000?

Dec 13, 5:37 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

70.12%chance

10158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

106

Will Google maps stop following China's law which requires misaligning the satellite layer? By 2039

Mar 5, 1:57 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

24%chance

6134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

130

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will there be a Grand Theft Auto or Midtown Madness clone based on the real world in Google Maps by 2028?

Oct 4, 2:35 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

56.57%chance

745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

146

Will it be possible to play a simcopter or streets of SimCity or GTA based on cities skylines 2 maps by 2029?

Mar 19, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.2%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

100

82

Will Fundamental Development Gap Map stay relevant and updated by 2027?

Apr 20, 4:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.41%chance

27

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

Will Jose Luis Ricon get a QEEG brain mapping FOR SCIENCE by EOY2026

Oct 27, 10:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

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