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March and March movement News
Prediction markets for March and March movement
Prediction markets for March and March movement
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think AI-caused extinction is more likely?
Jan 30, 5:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
58.8%
chance
55
3918
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1035
875
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?
Mar 3, 1:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
66.33%
chance
37
1122
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1125
915
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