Margin News

NO

8% to 10%

6% to 8%

10% to 12%

4% to 6%

2% to 4%

0% to 2%

12% to 14%

-2% to 0%

Above 14%

Tom Steyer and Steve hilton

[No AI voting advice polling available]

> 3x

2x - 3x

1x - 2x

180 or fewer (0-180)

160 or fewer (0-160)

140 or fewer (0-140)

120 or fewer (0-120)

100 or fewer (0-100)

80 or fewer (0-80)

60 or fewer (0-60)

40 or fewer (0-40)

20 or fewer (0-20)

YES

NO

35.0-44.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (voters unsatisfied for 4th election in a row)

35.0-44.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Dems chose better candidate)

35.0-44.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Reps chose better candidate)

≥45% & R +2.5 or more (Trump good)

≤34.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (ultrapolarized negative partisanship, Democracy is cooked)

≥45% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (less polarization?)

≤34.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump bad)

≤34.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump bad, Republicans good)

Wet weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin

Dry weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin

Wet weather // R wins by > 4% margin

Wet weather // R wins by 2%-4% margin

Wet weather // R wins by 0%-2% margin

Wet weather // D wins by 2%-4% margin

Wet weather // D wins by > 4% margin

Dry weather // R wins by > 4% margin

Dry weather // R wins by 2%-4% margin

Dry weather // R wins by 0%-2% margin

Dry weather // D wins by 2%-4% margin

>= -135%

>= -150%

>= -30%

>= -45%

>=-60%

>= -75%

>= -90%

>= -105%

>= -120%

>= -15%

YES

0 - 24,999

25,000 - 49,999

50,000 - 74,999

75,000 - 99,999