Margin News

NO

(5%, 10%], Scott win

(0.5%, 5%], Scott narrow win

[-5%, -0.5%), Connie narrow win

[-10%, -5%), Connie win

(10%, 20%], Scott commanding win

[-0.5%, 0.5%], squeaker

> 20%, Scott blowout

[-20%, -10%), Connie commanding win

Republican by more than ten points

Republican by five to ten points

Republican by under five points

Democrat by under five points

Democrat by five to ten points

Democrat by more than ten points

YES

Wins by 3.000% to 5.999%

Wins by 0% to 2.999%

Wins by 6.000% to 8.999%

loses by 0% to 2.999%

Loses by 3.000% or more

YES

NO

NO

NO

180 or fewer (0-180)

160 or fewer (0-160)

140 or fewer (0-140)

120 or fewer (0-120)

100 or fewer (0-100)

80 or fewer (0-80)

60 or fewer (0-60)

40 or fewer (0-40)

20 or fewer (0-20)

35.0-44.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (voters unsatisfied for 4th election in a row)

35.0-44.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Dems chose better candidate)

35.0-44.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Reps chose better candidate)

≥45% & R +2.5 or more (Trump good)

≤34.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (ultrapolarized negative partisanship, Democracy is cooked)

≥45% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (less polarization?)

≤34.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump bad)

≤34.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump bad, Republicans good)

0 - 24,999

25,000 - 49,999

50,000 - 74,999

75,000 - 99,999