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OptionProbability
Hytale
Left 4 Dead 3
Far Cry 8
Portal 3
Star Craft 3
Team Fortress 3
Grand Theft Auto 7
Counter Strike 3
Crysis 4
Star Citizen
Fable 4
Physint (Kojima stealth game)
Saints Row (6th main game)
Age of Empires 5
Red Dead Redemption 3
Banjo Kazooie 3
Tekken 9
Super Smash Bros (after Ultimate)
Riot's MMORPG
Armored Core 7
Fallout 5
Bloody Roar 5
A Plague Tale 3
Watch Dogs 4 (after Legion)
Kingdom Hearts 4
Dead or Alive 7
Bayonetta 4
Half Life 3
Devil May Cry 6
Mass Effect 5
rivals of aether 3
Soul Calibur 7
Mega Man 12
Dragon Quest 12
Romance of the Three Kingdoms 15
Dynasty Warriors 10
Samurai Shodown (after 2019 release)
Final Fantasy 18
Earth Defense Force 7
Radio the Universe
Dynasty Warriors 11
Little Nightmares 3
Fatal Fury: City of the Wolves
Crackdown 4
Dead Island 3
Dead Space 4
Pikmin 5
Tony Hawk Pro Skater 6
BlazBlue (after Cross Tag Battle)
Under Night In-Birth 3
ARK Survival Evolved 2
Mario Kart 10
Diablo 5
Bioshock 4 (after Infinite)
Monaco 2
Elder Scrolls 6
Marathon
Far Cry 7
Final Fantasy 17
Street Fighter 7
The Sims 5
Persona 6
Mortal Kombat after 'MK1' (MK12)
Resident Evil 9
Wolf Among Us 2
Civilization 8
Hearts of Iron 5
Need for Speed (26th main game)
Tropico 7
Gran Turismo 8
King of Fighters 16
Guilty Gear (after Strive)
Haunted Chocolatier
Skate 4
ARMA 4
Splatoon 4
Control 2
2XKO
Vampire the Masquerade Bloodlines 2
Virtua Fighter 6
Command and Conquer 5
Gears of War 6
Witcher 4 Polaris
Europa Universalis 5
S&box (Sandbox)
Grand Theft Auto 6
Silksong (Hollow Knight)
deadlock / neon Prime (valve game)
Outer Worlds 2
Silent Hill f (the next main game)
Killing Floor 3
Death Stranding 2
Mario Kart 9
Monster Hunter Wilds
Civilization 7
Slitterhead
Rivals of Aether 2
Mario Party 12 (after Super Mario Party)
Frostpunk 2
Prince of Persia after Lost Crown
Hades 2
90
89
87
86
85
82
81
79
69
63
63
62
59
58
57
57
56
54
54
51
51
51
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
48
47
47
47
47
46
44
44
43
43
42
42
42
42
42
41
40
40
40
40
38
37
37
34
34
33
32
30
29
29
28
28
25
24
23
22
18
16
14
14
13
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
OptionProbability
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
Donkey Kong Bananza
Blue Prince
Other
Split Fiction
Death Stranding 2: On the Beach
Ghost of Yotei
Metroid Prime 4: Beyond
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II
Mario Kart World
Civilization VII
Avowed
Hollow Knight: Silksong
Elden Ring Nightreign
Pokemon Legends: Z-A
Grand Theft Auto VI
Slay the Spire II
Wanderstop
Monster Hunter Wilds
Doom: The Dark Ages
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
85
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
It will get a Metascore of 50 or more
It will get a Metascore of 55 or more
It will get a Metascore of 60 or more
It will get a Metascore of 65 or more
It will get a Metascore of 70 or more
It will get a Metascore of 75 or more
It will get a Metascore of 80 or more
It will have sold over 1 million copies by the end of September 2025
It will have sold over 3 million copies by the end of September 2025
It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2025
It will have sold over 5.91 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Super Circuit for the Game Boy Advance) by the end of September 2025
It will get a Metascore of 85 or more
It will have sold over 5 million copies by the end of September 2025
It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of FY2026
It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of September 2025
It will be the best-selling Nintendo Switch 2 game (not including Nintendo Switch 2 edition games) at the end of calendar year 2025
It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of Calendar Year 2025
It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of FY2027
It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of FY2026
It will have sold over 8.46 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 8 for the WiiU) by the end of September 2025
It will have sold over 8.76 million copies (the lifetime sales of Super Mario Kart for the Super Nintendo) by the end of September 2025
It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of Calendar Year 2025
It will be the best-selling Nintendo Switch 2 game (not including Nintendo Switch 2 edition games) at the end of calendar year 2026
It will be nominated for multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025
It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of September 2025
It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of FY2026
It will get a Metascore of 90 or more
It will have sold over 12 million copies by the end of September 2025
It will win an award at the Game Awards 2025
It will have sold over 37.38 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart Wii) by the end of FY2027
It will have sold over 15 million copies by the end of September 2025
It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of Calendar Year 2025
It will have sold over 37.38 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart Wii) by the end of FY2026
It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025
It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of September 2025
It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the Nintendo Switch (not counting WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8) by the end of calendar year 2027
It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the Nintendo Switch (not counting WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8) by the end of calendar year 2028
It will get a Metascore of 95 or more
It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 (INCLUDING WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8 AND Switch Sales of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe) by the end of calendar year 2029
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
90
85
84
83
83
80
80
76
76
74
72
72
72
72
66
66
66
65
59
50
50
41
34
34
28
24
20
20
18
17
OptionProbability
4 or more new tracks added
200cc mode added
8 or more new tracks added
A new land mass is directly connected to existing open world by bridge, tunnel, flying, or other way without loading screen
Traditional 3 lap race mode in online matchmaking added
12 or more new tracks added
Animal Crossing character or track is added
Zelda character or track is added
Splatoon character or track is added
Significant battle mode update
Some kind of real-life sponsor added (like MK8 Mercedes cars)
71
50
43
33
30
28
22
22
20
17
11
OptionProbability
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
Mario Kart World
Split Fiction
Death Stranding 2: On the Beach
Monster Hunter Wilds
Civilization VII
Donkey Kong Bananza
Avowed
Pokémon Legends: Z-A
Wanderstop
2XKO
Mewgenics
Professor Layton and The New World of Steam
Balatro
Citizen Sleeper 2: Starward Vector
Grand Theft Auto VI
ANTONBLAST
96
90
89
88
78
75
72
69
61
59
55
55
55
50
50
47
34