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Market Surveillance News

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

Prediction Markets

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

9

1 year ago

Bybit EU Deploys Nasdaq Market Surveillance to Meet MiCAR Rules

Bybit EU Deploys Nasdaq Market Surveillance to Meet MiCAR Rules

5

1 year ago

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.61%chance

285349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2902

345

Will there be a confirmed case of Cyclosporiasis in ALL 48 US contiguous states before the end of August 2026?

Jul 14, 7:13 PMSep 15, 11:59 PM

32.65%chance

164090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

880

Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?

Jan 23, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.03%chance

223162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3383

296

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.25%chance

163003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

519

Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?

Jan 18, 12:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.22%chance

231891

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

83

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.96%chance

131199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1689

592

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Feb 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.7%chance

14641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

769

Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?

Jul 29, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.5%chance

5560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

990

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.8%chance

5132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

212

47

Will "OpenAI’s surveillance language has many poten..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 4, 11:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.61%chance

3124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

791

Will Canada pass a Warrantless mass data collection law, as part of Bill C-22, in 2026?

May 23, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.25%chance

563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028

Aug 11, 11:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

78

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