Marketing Rule News

YES

YES

YES

NO

YES

NO

Propose a 90% emission-reduction target for 2040 in a European Climate Law

Propose a European AI Research Council (CERN for AI)

Set up a President's Youth Advisory Board with young people from all Member States

Expand the Rule of Law Report to include a Single Market dimension and accession countries

Propose a new European Biotech Act

Create a pan-European investment platform for affordable and sustainable housing with the European Investment Bank

By the end of the mandate, energy prices will on average be lower (inflation-adjusted)

More than double Europol's staff over time

The next long-term budget will include a regime of conditionality for the Rule of Law

Triple the number of European Border and Coast Guards to 30,000

Respond to all of Parliament's Article 225 resolutions with legislative proposals

Implement a right to disconnect

Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11

Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State

Be a man (cis or trans)

Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)

Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature

Be considered broadly left-wing in their country

Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent

Have been married

Have been in custody

Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area

Rule an African country

Rule a country with same-sex marriage

Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation

Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime

Come to power as the result of a coup

Be out as LGBTQIA+

Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB

Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)

Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment

Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01

NO

Polymarket

Kalshi

Capital Gains

Commodity Trading (60% long term capital gains, 40% short term capital gains)

Gambling Income

Self employed income