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Prediction markets for Markets

(Playoffs) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

Oct 27, 6:31 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

1701557272

OptionProbability

Rams beat Panthers (01/10) 4:30 PM (NFL+)

Bills beat Jaguars (01/11) 1:00 PM (TBD)

49ers beat Eagles (01/11) 4:30 PM (TBD)

Texans beat Steelers (01/12) 8:15 PM (TBD)

Rams beat Bears (01/18) 6:30 PM (NBC)

New England Patriots beat Denver Broncos (01/25) 3:00 PM (TBD)

Seattle Seahawks beat New England Patriots (02/08) 6:30 PM (TBD)

Packers beat Bears (01/10) 8:00 PM (TBD)

Chargers beat Patriots (01/11) 8:15 PM (TBD)

Bills beat Broncos (01/17) 4:30 PM (CBS)

49ers beat Seahawks (01/17) 8:00PM (FOX)

Texans beat Patriots (01/18) 3:00 PM (ESPN/ABC)

LA Rams beat Seattle Seahawks (01/25) 6:30 PM (TBD)

100

100

100

100

100

100

69

0

0

0

0

0

0

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

46.74%chance

4671140701

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11046

8127

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

301639757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2690

2506

EIA projection for US BEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:16 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

12179809

OptionProbability

9 - 10.59%

10.6 - 12.89%

7.0 - 8.99%

0 - 6.99%

12.9 - 100%

35

25

22

9

9

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.88%chance

66131656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

36780

7465

This market resolves NO

Mar 1, 6:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

15979273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3716

943

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Feb 20, 12:06 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

5145634

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

IB / ForecastEx

Other

DraftKings or FanDuel

Betfair

Manifold

PredictIt

51

30

7

7

4

1

1

1

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.21%chance

204208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10135

9805

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.92%chance

162001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11684

8683

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Sep 21, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.85%chance

231547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

926

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

11380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

50.37%chance

17245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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