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Prediction markets for Markets Daily

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.08%chance

326670301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2820

2219

Bluesky active users in December 2026

May 23, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9982208

OptionProbability

Above 1 million

Above 2 million

Above 5 million

Above 10 million

Above 50 million

Above 100 million

30

9

4

2

1

1

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Apr 10, 12:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.09%chance

15319616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

1481

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.39%chance

2112795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13866

3633

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Oct 10, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.08%chance

92059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2491

1492

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Jun 30, 4:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

172037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

866

Forever Market for Daily Rewards

Feb 19, 8:14 PMDec 31, 8:07 PM

50.25%chance

4400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

100

Manifold Markets 7-day average of Daily Active Users will be at least 29,000 by January 29, 2029 (1/29/29).

Jun 22, 3:02 PMJan 28, 11:59 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Should @JDVance1 switch from random automated markets into daily Manifold GitHub activity markets?

Apr 22, 5:27 PM

90

Is the new 0.03% daily loan system viable with long term markets?

Jan 12, 10:56 PM

190

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