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Top stories

On June 21, 2025, MrZackMorris Shares Over 50 Music Tracks Including 'Vato' and 'Pablo Escobar' via YouTube Music

On June 21, 2025, MrZackMorris Shares Over 50 Music Tracks Including 'Vato' and 'Pablo Escobar' via YouTube Music

Authors

5

1 month ago

Prediction markets for Massacre

Will Google release a model that refuses to talk about Tiananmen square, before 2026?

Jan 18, 9:47 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

4.53%chance

449427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4179

591

What will be #1 most viewed Wikipedia article of 2025?

Dec 12, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

517014

OptionProbability

Deaths in 2025

Other

.xxx

1989 Tiananmen Square protests and massacre

Donald Trump

Elon Musk

Indian Premier League

ChatGPT

Existential risk from artificial intelligence

Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Wikipedia

Taylor Swift

JD Vance

Project 2025

Taiwan

66

17

5

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

What will be the top 10 most viewed Wikipedia articles of 2025?

Dec 12, 7:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

246488

OptionProbability

Deaths in 2025

Donald Trump

ChatGPT

Indian Premier League

Elon Musk

Pope Leo XIV

Zohran Mamdani

Wikipedia

United States

Sinners (2025 film)

1989 Tiananmen Square protests and massacre

JD Vance

Taylor Swift

Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

Superman (2025 film)

Project 2025

Avatar: Fire and Ash

99

89

85

81

79

65

64

62

55

55

50

39

18

17

13

11

9

After the Israel-Hamas war is over, would the average Israeli believe it was a mistake?

Nov 6, 5:30 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.74%chance

261121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1869

846

Religiously motivated dog massacre in EU country before the end of 2026?

Jul 13, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.5%chance

14314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

In 2100, will it generally be believed that Russian troops carried out the Bucha massacre?

Feb 22, 1:24 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

91.01%chance

8299

OptionVotes

NO

YES

402

248

Has the Moscow Massacre materially raised the likelihood of Putin using tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine?

Mar 23, 11:00 PM

340

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