OptionProbability
[All non-meta options for before 2030 are continuously under 50% for any 4 week period before 2025]
Before January 2040
Before January 2030
Before January 2029
Before January 2028
Before January 2027
By January 2024
By February 2024
By March 2024
By April 2024
By June 2024
Before July 2024
Before January 2025
Before January 2026
[Any month is continuously over 50% for any 6 week period less than one year before it arrives, before January 2026]
[Any month is continuously over 50% for 24 hours because of a relevant news story and resolves NO, before January 2026]
76
12
10
7
6
3
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
156
140
383
242
