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Prediction markets for Max
Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030
Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.57%chance
1283017
OptionVotes
46054
2277
Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028
Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.33%chance
57736
OptionVotes
5390
186
Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?
May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.16%chance
362883
OptionVotes
1423
839
Will Max Verstappen move to Mercedes in F1 2025 or 2026?
Mar 4, 3:08 PMDec 20, 10:59 PM
3.03%chance
352148
OptionVotes
1097
57
OptionVotes
2001
500
Anthropic introduces a individual subscription beyond the 20x Max plan before June 1st?
Apr 22, 3:18 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
19.08%chance
151217
OptionVotes
2059
486
OptionVotes
1313
762
Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?
Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM
47%chance
14753
OptionVotes
1034
956
Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
42.33%chance
10345
OptionVotes
1238
779
OptionVotes
201
50
OptionProbability
28
20
20
19
13
OptionProbability
59
59
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
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