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May Consumer Price Index News

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Prediction markets for May Consumer Price Index

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 21, 1:25 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

36.43%chance

343356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

809

Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?

Jun 5, 4:22 PMJul 18, 11:59 PM

75%chance

12537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

49

Will June 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 9:16 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

18.16%chance

3167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

50

Will June 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 10:13 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

20.71%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

43

Will US CPI inflation (12-month) for June 2026 be 4.5% or higher?

Jun 21, 12:49 PMJul 14, 12:30 PM

20.62%chance

593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

60

How will GiveWell's 2027 Program salary expenses compare to 2022's?

Dec 3, 7:34 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM

230

OptionProbability

More than 150% of 2022

90-110% of 2022

Less than 50% of 2022

70-90% of 2022

110-130% of 2022

130-150% of 2022

50-70% of 2022

21

20

12

12

12

12

11

Will June 2026 U.S. import prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 9, 4:05 PMJul 17, 12:25 PM

65.41%chance

324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

88

Will July 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 2:20 AMAug 12, 12:25 PM

63%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

86

(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)

Feb 7, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

(NO) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (<-10%)

(YES) x (>=20%)

(NO) x (<-10%)

(NO) x (>=20%)

29

25

12

12

12

12

Will December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 6:10 PMDec 10, 12:25 PM

49.72%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

89

Will August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 17, 5:15 AMSep 11, 12:25 PM

52%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will July 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 3:14 AMAug 12, 12:25 PM

45%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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