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Prediction markets for Maye Musk

Will Elon musk form a new political party

Jul 1, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.1%chance

341396346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2006

1162

Will @ElonMusk force people to see his X posts even if blocked?

Sep 24, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.21%chance

7047175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33318

3293

Will Trump and Elon cut the Federal Budget by more than $1 Trillion/yr by the end of 2025?

Nov 10, 5:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.3%chance

16742960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8726

115

Will Tesla launch level 4 robotaxis this summer?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

18.92%chance

20240045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1610

789

Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025

Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.33%chance

146906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14718

5388

Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?

Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

37.86%chance

292454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

781

10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.

Dec 27, 8:26 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

49.59%chance

171736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

992

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.56%chance

141296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1908

524

Did the European commission offer X a secret deal?

Jul 12, 6:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.07%chance

5725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1525

656

Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?

Jun 5, 8:05 PMJan 1, 8:05 PM

25.26%chance

7720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1720

581

Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?

Jun 5, 8:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.57%chance

10498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

915

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

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