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Prediction markets for Measurement API

Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79%chance

91081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

516

What will US GDP growth be 1 year after AI achieves programming competency?

Jan 11, 8:06 PMJan 2, 9:59 AM

35.18%chance

9179

OptionProbability

YES

NO

551

366

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