Measurement API News

Anthropic share of OpenRouter tokens (%)

Sep 4, 3:33 PM

191008491

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.2%chance

17132633

OptionVotes

YES

14073

7523

Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026?

Aug 16, 2:22 AMOct 1, 12:00 AM

4.84%chance

13868

OptionVotes

YES

468

What will US GDP growth be 1 year after AI achieves programming competency?

Jan 11, 8:06 PMJan 2, 9:59 AM

35.18%chance

9179

OptionProbability

YES

551

366

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.76%chance

173

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will the US ban open-weight AI models, and what happens to OpenAI + Anthropic's valuation if it does?

Sep 13, 11:16 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

262

OptionProbability

IF ban enacted by end of 2028: OpenAI + Anthropic ≥ $4T combined on Jan 1, 2029 (N/A if no ban)

IF no ban by end of 2028: OpenAI + Anthropic ≥ $4T combined on Jan 1, 2029 (N/A if ban)

US bans open-weight frontier AI models before 2030

Measurement API News

Prediction markets for Measurement API

Prediction markets for Measurement API

Prediction markets for Measurement API

Anthropic share of OpenRouter tokens (%)

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026?

What will US GDP growth be 1 year after AI achieves programming competency?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will the US ban open-weight AI models, and what happens to OpenAI + Anthropic's valuation if it does?

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