DeepNewz, mobile.

People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story list view.

Search

For You

Medium News

Footer

AI

AI Fundraising
AI Modeling
AI Products

Business

Automobile
Company Earnings
Economics
Law
Prediction Markets
Real Estate
Rumors
Stocks
VC

Crypto

Airdrops
Blockchains
CBDCs
DeFi
Hacks
Markets
Memecoin
Mining
NFT
Regulation

Culture

Anime
Celebrities
Crime
Education
Movies
Music
Obituary
TV
Video Games

Environment

Climate
Energy
Natural Disasters
Natural Resources
Sustainability

Politics

DOGE
Epstein Files
Executive Orders
Tariffs
US Domestic Policy
US Elections
US Foreign Policy
US Gov Appointments
US Judiciary
US Legislation
War

Science

Archeology
Bio
Health
Math
Pharma
Physics
Space

Sports

Boxing
Chess
Cricket
Golf
Hockey
MLB
NBA
NCAA
NFL
Olympics
PGA
Poker
Racing
Rugby
Soccer
Tennis
UFC

Tech

AR-VR
Fintech
Infosec
IoT
Metaverse
Policy
Robotics
Smart Home
Software
Startups
Wearables

United States

Arizona
Boston
California
Chicago
Colorado
Detroit
Florida
Georgia
Las Vegas
Los Angeles
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Seattle
Texas
Utah
Washington DC

World

Terms of Service

WhatsApp YouTube X

© 2025 DeepNFTValue, Inc. All rights reserved.

Prediction markets for Medium

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of...

Dec 5, 2:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1845864

OptionProbability

Medium or higher on Cybersecurity

Medium or higher on Model Autonomy

High or higher on CBRN

High or higher on Persuasion

100

100

19

14

Any SOTA AI model uses human-understandable thinking medium at the end of 2028?

Oct 22, 1:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.23%chance

84084

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1574

635

What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)?

Oct 31, 4:20 PMDec 23, 9:59 PM

413594

OptionProbability

Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank

Other

Kill some Hamas leaders, then get out

Install a puppet government

Permanently cut gaza in half, occupy the North

Get bogged down in a stalemate

61

17

10

9

3

1

Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced medium-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?

Oct 23, 10:49 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21.06%chance

71006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1936

517

When will "Mistral-medium" weights be available?

Dec 11, 12:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17973

OptionProbability

Other

January 2024

[Later than December 2025]

February 2024

December 2023

50

36

5

5

3

Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?

Dec 16, 7:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.13%chance

24760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

960

AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.

Apr 29, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.75%chance

10389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

907

If there are medium-hard to tough problems on the 2026 IMO, will AI solve them?

Aug 8, 12:14 AMAug 30, 10:59 PM

4130

OptionProbability

30 - Medium-Hard

35 - Tough

40 - Hard

45 - Super Hard

50 - Brutal

55 - Not suitable for exam

89

80

76

72

50

20

Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?

Dec 17, 2:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

29%chance

3108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

41

Recommend me a piece of medium-to-long fiction I will enjoy, that I have not read yet

Nov 3, 8:57 PM

00

Engineer a medium-scale controversy involving Manifold without committing a crime

Dec 12, 5:26 PM

00

Only for men. Would have sex with a woman of medium attractiveness, given no STDs for

Nov 15, 3:17 PM

310

Latest stories