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Meltdown News

Which answers will exactly match a full New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION]

Feb 27, 5:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11848743

OptionProbability

China attacks Taiwan

U.S. Attacked

China invades Taiwan

Not Guilty

Guilty [after June 5, 2024]

Record Broken for Hottest Day on Earth

Government shuts down

Trump impeached

Landmark Decision

War declared

Trump

Gaza

Putin to step down

Woman Walks on the Moon

Election overturned

Griswold Overturned

Xi dead

Swing States

America Under Attack

Russia and Ukraine [or Ukraine and Russia] sign a peace deal

Trillionaire

Ceasefire established in Gaza

Putin killed

Fed announces

On all counts

Trump again

Joe Biden Dead at 83

Trump wins

Trump convicted

Four more years

Haley to suspend campaign

Extraterrestrials Are Real

Artificial Intelligence

Putin is dead

Market Meltdown

Jimmy Carter dies

Madam President

Biden wins

Biden resigns

Biden wins again

Biden's Age is Becoming the Central Issue of the Campaign

Biden Re-elected

Sentenced to

Path to

7

7

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

322810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

639

Will Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?

Jul 28, 2:51 AMJan 27, 4:59 AM

6.25%chance

292377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1821

900

Will the incidence of cancer in the Pacific Ocean region increase following the disposal of nuclear meltdown wastewater?

Sep 5, 3:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.21%chance

14443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

946

Kendrick Lamar has "Kanye-West-level meltdown" before 2030?

Apr 8, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.13%chance

9294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

30

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100?

Nov 5, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49%chance

11142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?

Sep 12, 10:06 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

16.28%chance

7113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

116

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

Jun 29, 7:27 AMDec 31, 8:14 AM

5100

OptionProbability

United States

Other

France

Ukraine

Russia

Pakistan

China

India

Japan

Belgium

North Korea

Iran

49

12

8

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

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