OptionProbability
X 8.00 Solar flare [or higher]
Major Volcanic Eruption (≥6 on VEI scale)
Trump says Xiaohongshu (or tries to)
Another Pandemic
X (Formerly Twitter) revives Vine
A law granting legal rights to AI systems is passed in a UN Member State or a US State
OpenAI Nationalized
US Buys or Invades Greenland
A large-scale cyberattack cripples financial systems, causing a global economic meltdown
Bitcoin Market Cap > US GDP (or this happens with another cryptocurrency)
Elon Flips to Democrat
GTA 6 released
Discovery of Alien Life
45
19
18
11
10
9
8
4
2
1