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Prediction markets for Memes

@Tumbles Meme Stock ($TMS)

Jan 29, 3:21 PM

3827277

OptionProbability

YES

NO

775

217

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Jan 13, 11:11 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

93.05%chance

362370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2144

826

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

53.05%chance

382219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

437

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Jan 15, 9:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

87.94%chance

352209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

990

826

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?

Jan 16, 1:24 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

82.1%chance

291487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

977

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2028?

Jan 16, 10:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

72.78%chance

251127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

798

Manifold Staff with Best Memes Stock

Nov 10, 5:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22943

OptionProbability

@Sinclair

@Gen

@SG

@JamesGrugett

@Austin

@SirSalty

@ian

Other

@Alice

@mqp

@IngaWei

@rachel

18

16

12

9

7

7

6

6

5

5

5

5

Which will be the majority pronunciation of the term “meme” by the year 2030?

Aug 14, 9:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13355

OptionProbability

Meme - rhymes with deem (most like gene)

Meme - pronounced “me me” like Mimi Rodgers

Meme - pronounced "may may"

Sounds like Meh meh

Other

Meme - rhymes with gem

91

2

2

2

2

1

Will Tetraspace receive a Nobel prize for the creation of the shoggoth meme?

Nov 6, 10:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.37%chance

8337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

154

Will "The LLM shoggoth meme is weirder than you think" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 20, 8:43 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15%chance

475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

933

Which Celebrities will have their own Meme Coin or Crypto token before 2030? 🤑🌐💻💰🪙

Apr 7, 6:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

345

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Drake

Mr Beast

Jake Paul

Christiano Ronaldo

Kanye West

50

39

38

34

33

33

Will "P(doom) is a Dumb Meme" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 30, 5:25 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.26%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

859

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