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Prediction markets for Memes

@Tumbles Meme Stock ($TMS)

Jan 29, 3:21 PM

3827277

OptionProbability

YES

NO

775

217

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Jan 13, 11:11 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

93.05%chance

362370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2144

826

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Jan 15, 9:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

90.35%chance

342184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

965

Which dormant memes will make a comeback by 2027?

May 18, 2:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

91892

OptionProbability

"*X intensifies*"

"Advice Mallard"

"Hodor"

"Bad Luck Brian"

"Me Gusta"

"Philosoraptor"

"Socially Awkward Penguin"

Ugandan knuckles

19

18

16

16

15

14

13

11

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

74%chance

371670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

887

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?

Jan 16, 1:24 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

85.97%chance

281437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

927

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2028?

Jan 16, 10:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

80.88%chance

251027

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

898

Manifold Staff with Best Memes Stock

Nov 10, 5:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22943

OptionProbability

@Sinclair

@Gen

@SG

@JamesGrugett

@Austin

@SirSalty

@ian

Other

@Alice

@mqp

@IngaWei

@rachel

18

16

12

9

7

7

6

6

5

5

5

5

Will Trump or his team apologize for the $TRUMP meme coin or state that it was a mistake before the end of his term?

Jan 18, 3:50 PMJan 25, 10:59 PM

12%chance

10490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Which will be the majority pronunciation of the term “meme” by the year 2030?

Aug 14, 9:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12345

OptionProbability

Meme - rhymes with deem (most like gene)

Meme - pronounced “me me” like Mimi Rodgers

Meme - pronounced "may may"

Sounds like Meh meh

Other

Meme - rhymes with gem

90

2

2

2

2

1

Will "The LLM shoggoth meme is weirder than you think" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 20, 8:43 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

933

Which Celebrities will have their own Meme Coin or Crypto token before 2030? 🤑🌐💻💰🪙

Apr 7, 6:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

317

OptionProbability

Mr Beast

Elon Musk

Kanye West

Drake

Christiano Ronaldo

Jake Paul

50

50

50

50

38

34

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