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Prediction markets for Memes

@Tumbles Meme Stock ($TMS)

Jan 29, 3:21 PM

3827277

OptionProbability

YES

NO

775

217

Another school shooter with a meme manifesto in 2025?

Jan 24, 3:17 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

12.6%chance

134128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2633

380

Will an AI-generated #memefold meme win a monthly poll in 2025?

Apr 15, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

224069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

680

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Jan 13, 11:11 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

92.57%chance

342218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2019

836

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Jan 15, 9:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

90.81%chance

342133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

959

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2026?

Jan 17, 9:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

60%chance

261702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

719

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

82.1%chance

331487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

906

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?

Jan 16, 1:24 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

85.97%chance

281437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

927

When will the 6-7 meme die?

Dec 6, 5:15 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

111144

OptionProbability

Before February 28 2026

Before February 15 2026

Before Jan 31 2026

Before Jan 15 2026

Before Dec 27 2025

Before Dec 20 2025

Before Dec 13 2025

59

54

47

42

33

26

7

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2028?

Jan 16, 10:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

82.7%chance

241002

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

873

Which will be the majority pronunciation of the term “meme” by the year 2030?

Aug 14, 9:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12345

OptionProbability

Meme - rhymes with deem (most like gene)

Meme - pronounced “me me” like Mimi Rodgers

Meme - pronounced "may may"

Sounds like Meh meh

Other

Meme - rhymes with gem

91

2

2

2

2

1

Will "I turned decision theory problems into memes ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Nov 9, 3:51 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

1164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

85

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