Memory News

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Sep 11, 5:08 PMNov 4, 6:00 PM

2.51%chance

3517614

OptionVotes

YES

6230

161

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Apr 17, 10:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.09%chance

225804

OptionVotes

YES

1248

801

It is possible to write standard C++ with memory safety guarantees similar to Rust by the end of

Sep 15, 6:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

185191

OptionProbability

2037

2033

2030

2027

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.62%chance

224037

OptionVotes

YES

1437

935

When will the Aspirational Neuroscience Memory Decoding Prize be won, if it is won by 2045?

Dec 20, 12:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5645

OptionProbability

2027

2035

2031

2033

2029

2037

2039

2041

2043

2045

Later than 2045 or never

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2073?

Aug 19, 1:09 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.25%chance

13569

OptionVotes

YES

1045

911

When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?

Jan 9, 8:36 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

4300

OptionProbability

2061 or beyond or never

2055-2060

2035-2040

2040-2045

2045-2050

2050-2055

2030-2035

2024-2030

Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029?

Oct 22, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

9225

OptionVotes

YES

118

How will I rate these writings? [Memory]

Dec 21, 8:09 PMDec 31, 7:53 PM

5216

OptionProbability

Morimoto & Koshland (1991) "Short-term and long-term memory in single cells"

Kandel, Dudai & Mayford (2014) "The Molecular and Systems Biology of Memory"

Ortega-de San Luis & Ryan (2022) "Understanding the physical basis of memory: Molecular mechanisms of the engram”

Auletta (2011) “Cognitive biology” Chapter 17

Michaelian (2011) “Generative memory”

Michaelian & Sutton (2017) “Memory”

Kandel (2009) "The Biology of Memory: A Forty-Year Perspective”

Schacter (1997) "Searching For Memory"

Schacter & Addis (2007) “The cognitive neuroscience of constructive memory: remembering the past and imagining the future”

Frise (2023) “Epistemological Problems of Memory”

Will windsurf OR cursor sync up cascade memories BETWEEN computers by EOY2026

Jan 26, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial's hand, arm, shoulder, hairline, and top of horse's head be complete by the end of 2037?

May 15, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Memory News

Prediction markets for Memory

Prediction markets for Memory

Prediction markets for Memory

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

It is possible to write standard C++ with memory safety guarantees similar to Rust by the end of

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

When will the Aspirational Neuroscience Memory Decoding Prize be won, if it is won by 2045?

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2073?

When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?

Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029?

How will I rate these writings? [Memory]

Will windsurf OR cursor sync up cascade memories BETWEEN computers by EOY2026

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial's hand, arm, shoulder, hairline, and top of horse's head be complete by the end of 2037?

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

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