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Prediction markets for Memory

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Sep 11, 5:08 PMNov 4, 6:00 PM

2.14%chance

3417580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6755

148

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.62%chance

224037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

935

How much unified memory will the PlayStation 6 (PS6) have for the launch model?

Feb 20, 12:37 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

41670

OptionProbability

24 GB

32 GB

20 GB

40 GB or more

16 GB

39

26

19

8

7

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2025?

Apr 17, 10:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.42%chance

131572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2342

427

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Apr 17, 10:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.09%chance

13917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1728

579

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2073?

Aug 19, 1:09 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.25%chance

13569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

911

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2048?

Aug 19, 1:04 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

43%chance

9185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219

189

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2098?

Aug 19, 1:07 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67.95%chance

7185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

154

Will cerebrolysin be shown to improve memory, intelligence, or some other trait?

Dec 24, 8:18 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.39%chance

5124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

30

Which year will the US govt publically require memory safe languages be used for govt applications

Feb 27, 8:09 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

2030

Never

2035

Other

31

29

20

20

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

72

68

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial's hand, arm, shoulder, hairline, and top of horse's head be complete by the end of 2037?

May 15, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

22

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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