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Top stories

NASA and Space Telescopes Reveal Unprecedented Images of Betelgeuse, Helix Nebula, Jupiter by Juno, Mercury, Venus, and Saturn Auroras

NASA and Space Telescopes Reveal Unprecedented Images of Betelgeuse, Helix Nebula, Jupiter by Juno, Mercury, Venus, and Saturn Auroras

Authors

4

8 days ago

Prediction markets for Mercury

What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?

Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

233310

OptionProbability

Callisto

Ganymede

Europa

Mercury

Titan

Venus

Io

Other

53

19

17

6

3

1

1

1

Will fintech Mercury collapse before 2026?

Jul 4, 11:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.07%chance

32965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3624

276

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will a human walk on Mercury before 2040?

Dec 30, 8:59 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

6.75%chance

191539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

922

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2040?

Dec 30, 1:29 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

17.32%chance

12878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

148

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2045?

Dec 30, 8:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

24.78%chance

12726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

103

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2050?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

49.26%chance

8550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

52

Will Mercury be dismantled before 2070?

May 13, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.08%chance

10507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will a human walk on Mercury before 2045?

Jan 1, 8:47 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

8.57%chance

13397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

960

Will a spacecraft that plans to attempt a soft landing on Mercury launch by the end of 2030?

Aug 25, 2:31 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

24%chance

7113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

76

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

100

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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