Merit News

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Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement

Bomb Iran

Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)

Enrich himself & his family financially

Shake hands with Putin

Reverse Biden's executive order on AI

Play golf

Shake hands with Xi Jinping

Deny Climate Change

Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office

Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office

Increase US oil production

Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time

Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court

Attend at least one current state leader funeral

Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack

Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general

Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar

Shake hands with Donald Tusk

Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants

Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock

Exercise

Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)

Withdraw support for Ukraine

Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office

Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)

Get impeached

Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore

Have a net approval below -20% at any point

Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association

Pardon himself

Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

Eliminate Daylight Savings Time

Start a war

Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.

Be the subject of a successful invocation of the 25th amendment

Reference "Situational Awareness"

Leave office early

Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)

Order the US military to attack US citizens on US soil

End SBA direct lending

Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan

Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

Eat a hamnhrb

Pass away

Die

Order the extrajudicial killing of a (named) US citizen on US soil

Pardon SBF

Attempt to stay in power for a third term

Make America Great Again

Talk with Kim Jong Un face to face

Register with the Federal Election Commission to run for president

Declassify the existence of non human intelligence.

Instruct the military to fire on protesters with live bullets, leading to at least one death

Make an executive order with the stated intention of slowing down AI development

Signs a bill that admits a new state to the Union.

Ban TikTok

Withdraw the US from NATO

Here's Johnny: Trump again appoints John Bolton to an official position in his administration.

Order the extrajudicial killing of any federal or state elected official

Completely withdraw United States Forces Korea

Cry on camera

Be in some type of official captivity at any level before the end of the planned term in 2029

Have over +20 net approval according to 538, at any point

Direct the killing of a political opponent

Order a nuclear strike

Be removed via the 25th Amendment

Do another Home Alone cameo

Buy Greenland

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

"lower taxes"

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

"stop all COVID mandates"

"keep men out of women’s sports"

"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

"more jobs for American workers"

"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

"bigger paychecks"

"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

"cut the number of school administrators"

"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

declassify the 'Epstein files'

"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

"increase fairness through price transparency"

"passing a digital bill of rights"

"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

"end surprise medical billing"

"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

YES

YES

Metalhead

Joan is Awful

Other

Hated in the Nation

USS Callister

Fifteen Million Merits

San Junipero

The Waldo Moment

White Christmas

Hang the DJ

Nosedive

The Entire History of You

Shut up and Dance

The National Anthem

YES

YES

YES

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026

Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family

He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029

He joins George Mason University by mid 2026

He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029

He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036

He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2024

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2025

He retires from academic life by mid 2024

Harvard withdraws or softens the results of the investigations which found against him by mid 2025

YES

Blocked by any court

Overturned by SCOTUS on the merits

At least one penalty enforced against non-federal LEO under the law (survives appeal)

At least one individual arrested under the law

NO