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Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.99%chance

5513610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20519

7234

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 12:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14884

OptionProbability

Threads

Pinterest

Discord

Twitch

VerSe Innovation Josh

Baidu Tieba

Rakuten Viber

PageBites imo

Xiaohongshu

Likee

Picsart

Vevo

VK

Line by Naver

Bluesky

Microsoft Teams

Tumblr

Manifold

Quora

Microsoft Skype

93

92

74

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

40

38

26

12

5

1

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

36.12%chance

11684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

752

Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?

Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.03%chance

12387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

943

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.56%chance

13299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

40

Will Google Voice support RCS by the end of 2027?

Aug 18, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

8242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

50

Will Apple enable users to use gesture and voice input as primary interaction methods by 2028?

Mar 12, 6:49 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

42.74%chance

4210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

172

Will it be illegal to give a child an adult phone before 2036?

Oct 25, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.13%chance

6192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will selling your own chat history for AI training be possible before 2030?

May 15, 12:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68%chance

4148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

128

When will more questions be sent daily on ChatGPT than on Facebook apps (Messenger and Instagram, etc)?

Dec 5, 12:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

390

OptionProbability

≥2030 or never

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025

Other

30

15

15

15

15

5

5

By end of 2030, will AI therapy-matching be the main intake path for new mental-health patients in a developed country?

Oct 12, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46%chance

339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

12

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Apr 25, 11:50 AM

00

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