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Prediction markets for Messages app

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Pete Hegseth?

Apr 21, 8:52 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

9.79%chance

393056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

33

Will I have a meaningful interaction over BitChat before August 1st 2026?

Aug 4, 6:22 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.46%chance

52110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344

165

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

36.12%chance

11684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

752

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 12:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10669

OptionProbability

Discord

Twitch

VerSe Innovation Josh

Baidu Tieba

Rakuten Viber

PageBites imo

Xiaohongshu

Likee

Picsart

Vevo

VK

Pinterest

Line by Naver

Threads

Bluesky

Microsoft Teams

Tumblr

Manifold

Quora

Microsoft Skype

74

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

46

46

40

38

26

12

5

1

Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?

Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.03%chance

12387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

943

Will Apple enable users to use gesture and voice input as primary interaction methods by 2028?

Mar 12, 6:49 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

42.74%chance

4210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

172

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.66%chance

6187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Will selling your own chat history for AI training be possible before 2030?

May 15, 12:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68%chance

4148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

128

Will my proximity chat app reach 1,000 messages per week by 2026-03-01?

Dec 21, 8:16 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

18.75%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

When will more questions be sent daily on ChatGPT than on Facebook apps (Messenger and Instagram, etc)?

Dec 5, 12:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

390

OptionProbability

≥2030 or never

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025

Other

30

15

15

15

15

5

5

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Apr 25, 11:50 AM

00

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