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Top stories

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

Authors

10

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Messages

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Which person had the most important message to give society?

Mar 15, 12:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

225215

OptionProbability

Other

Danny Sheehan

Krantz Hanzinpantz

Daniel Hillis

Jesus of Nazareth

Jesse Michels

Danny Jones

Curt Jaimungal

Gary Stevenson

Steven Greer

Harald Malmgren

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Balaji Srinivasan

Robert Kennedy Jr

Sir Isaac Newton

Jack Kruse

Eric Weinstein

Chris Bledsoe

Robert Epstein

Jake Barber

Robin Hanson

Suchir Balaji

Shawn Ryan

Jeffrey Mishlove

Daryl Davis

Marshall McLuhan

Brian Tomasik

John Mcafee

Julian Assange

Micheal Levin

Hal Putoff

Avi Loeb

Mike Benz

Ben Goertzle

Gary Nolan

Jeffrey Sachs

Matthew Pines

Scott Galloway

Catherine Fitts

Georgi Dimitrov

Jerome Powell

Samo Burja

David Friedberg

Mike Gravel

Tom Cambell

Robert Monroe

Bryan Johnson

11

10

10

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.89%chance

184256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3019

331

Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?

Jan 10, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.33%chance

653808

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1561

807

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

36.12%chance

11684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

752

Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?

Jan 12, 10:26 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

18.02%chance

17611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

893

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.57%chance

4317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.66%chance

6187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Will my proximity chat app reach 1,000 messages per week by 2026-03-01?

Dec 21, 8:16 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

18.75%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will all four Kryptos messages be solved by the end of 2027?

May 5, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.16%chance

6126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will a major art auction house have sold AI-generated artwork that is later revealed to contain a hidden message? (2028)

May 19, 3:32 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

33.88%chance

9124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

136

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