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Prediction markets for Messenger

Which major product will META kill first?

Mar 20, 4:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

293066

OptionProbability

Threads

WhatsApp

Messenger

Facebook

Instagram

84

9

3

2

2

Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)

Jan 8, 12:53 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

71076

OptionProbability

Facebook (the timeline, not messenger)

TikTok

Instagram

YouTube

Bluesky

Reddit

Hacker News

96

88

83

53

48

47

27

In 10 years, will there be a blackmail-resistant messenger?

Jan 13, 1:57 PMJan 13, 9:59 PM

14%chance

7734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

82

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.33%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

938

When will more questions be sent daily on ChatGPT than on Facebook apps (Messenger and Instagram, etc)?

Dec 5, 12:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

390

OptionProbability

≥2030 or never

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025

Other

30

15

15

15

15

5

5

Will Meta have to stop scanning Marcel's messages?

Jul 21, 6:20 AMJul 28, 9:59 PM

43.07%chance

445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

78

messenger facebook Aİ release by 2030

Jan 16, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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