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Prediction markets for Met Office

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

67.6%chance

537244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1445

692

🇺🇸 Which state will be the next to install its first woman governor?

Nov 8, 12:58 AMJan 3, 6:59 AM

104188

OptionProbability

Virginia

California

Colorado

Florida

Georgia

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Maryland

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Nevada

North Dakota

Pennsylvania

Tennessee

West Virginia

Wisconsin

96

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

Jun 25, 2:31 AMJan 21, 6:59 AM

20%chance

233518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

🇺🇸 Which state will be the last to install its first woman governor?

Mar 19, 10:42 PMJan 3, 6:59 AM

122468

OptionProbability

West Virginia

Idaho

Mississippi

Georgia

Illinois

Minnesota

Missouri

Nevada

Pennsylvania

Tennessee

Florida

Indiana

North Dakota

Wisconsin

California

Maryland

Virginia

Colorado

11

10

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

7

7

7

6

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

How will we have the first-ever First Gentleman of the United States

Dec 11, 12:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

292144

OptionProbability

By virtue of having a straight female president

By virtue of having a gay (or bisexual) male president

80

20

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

18.27%chance

111115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2115

473

What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh?

Mar 30, 2:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7426

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

46.21%chance

5346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

927

Ezra Klein runs for, or is appointed, to a political office by end of 2028

Mar 20, 11:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.13%chance

8321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

55.16%chance

7277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

902

When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

Mar 9, 6:23 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

8114

OptionProbability

After 2100/ Never (fundamental atmospheric chaos prevents this level of accuracy)

Before 2040

Before 2060

Before 2100

Before 2080

49

20

16

9

7

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