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Prediction markets for Metal

Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

92.4%chance

3845939

OptionVotes

NO

YES

34858

2869

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

53421

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

11

11

10

9

8

8

8

6

6

6

6

6

5

Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2026?

Dec 31, 4:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.12%chance

5901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1652

607

Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026

Jan 12, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.8%chance

9877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

667

Will metal currency be obsolete by 2040 in the US?

Nov 21, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

11295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

934

Will the next record of the metal band Opeth be released with Swedish lyrics?

Jan 17, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.8%chance

275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

68

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:54 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:55 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Ucore's Alaska Strategic Metals Complex be producing Sm2O3 at commercial scale on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:35 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

38.23%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

91

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on September 30, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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