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Prediction markets for Mexico

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMOct 31, 6:59 AM

12.39%chance

2025662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

578

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

12%chance

124728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

369

Will Mexico formally legalize cannabis by the end of 2025?

Jan 16, 7:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

14.89%chance

262020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2397

372

Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?

Mar 5, 3:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

46.24%chance

181404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

927

Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?

Mar 4, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57%chance

19601

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Mexico adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.89%chance

16593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

979

858

Will the US conduct any military actions inside of Mexico before the end of 2025?

Nov 27, 4:01 PMJan 8, 4:59 AM

15.9%chance

10535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Aug 30, 8:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.42%chance

12386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

934

Will Mexico pay for the wall?

Nov 26, 8:49 PMJan 20, 4:59 AM

6.48%chance

8280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

Will Mexico City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

Apr 19, 1:51 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM

21.55%chance

16258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

940

Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?

Dec 9, 11:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.53%chance

12257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

864

Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?

Oct 22, 10:49 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

56.25%chance

6134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

882

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