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Microsoft Build News
Prediction markets for Microsoft Build
Prediction markets for Microsoft Build
5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.
Dec 27, 8:16 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
13.91%
chance
28
3077
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2488
402
1. Meta will begin charging for use of its Llama models.
Dec 27, 8:10 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
26.86%
chance
34
2895
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1650
606
Cursor discontinued by EOY2025?
May 21, 9:14 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.03%
chance
33
2800
Option
Votes
YES
NO
489
21
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
22.16%
chance
20
2757
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1470
801
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%
chance
37
2697
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1928
630
Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?
Jan 9, 5:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.5%
chance
52
2073
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1051
865
Did Microsoft build a Majorana qubit?
Feb 21, 1:31 PM
Feb 21, 11:59 PM
16.89%
chance
8
255
Option
Votes
YES
NO
227
50
Kramer Intelligence released on Microsoft Store by 2026?
Jul 5, 12:13 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
71.04%
chance
6
91
Option
Votes
NO
YES
157
64
When will Demis Hassabis no longer have a human Executive Assistant?
Apr 3, 9:14 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
4
37
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
24
0
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