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Top stories

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

1 year ago

NFL and Microsoft Deploy Copilot AI and Azure on 2,500 Surface Tablets Across 32 Teams for Real-Time Strategy and Recruitment

NFL and Microsoft Deploy Copilot AI and Azure on 2,500 Surface Tablets Across 32 Teams for Real-Time Strategy and Recruitment

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Microsoft Copilot

Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?

Feb 8, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4313583

OptionProbability

Nobody (linked market resolves NO)

Google (eg Gemini)

Other

OpenAI (eg ChatGPT)

Anthropic (eg Claude)

IBM (eg Watson)

Microsoft (eg Copilot)

Mira (https://x.com/_Mira___Mira_)

DeepSeek

Amazon

Meta

54

16

16

7

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the GitHub Copilot Litigation Succeed?

Dec 8, 2:52 AMDec 7, 5:00 AM

7.52%chance

12411624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5589

1347

Which Google or Microsoft Product still Exists even in January 2030

Sep 17, 6:31 AMJan 31, 6:29 PM

142094

OptionProbability

Windows

Android

Gmail

Outlook

Google Maps

Google Chrome

Microsoft Copilot

Gemini

Microsoft Teams

Google Earth

Visual Studio

Google Pay

DeepMind

Google Keep

Microsoft Edge

ChromeOS or Chromebook

Fitbit

Android TV

Skype

98

97

97

93

92

91

90

88

86

86

72

71

60

60

55

54

45

41

1

Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?

May 6, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

301146

OptionProbability

Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)

Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)

Zed

Other

Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)

Cursor

Antigravity

Windsurf

Firebase Studio

52

11

10

10

7

6

3

0

0

Will Microsoft Copilot inject ads into unrelated commits again?

Mar 30, 12:13 PMDec 31, 1:12 PM

70.82%chance

7140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

When will Microsoft Copilot come up with a plausible looking world language map?

Feb 26, 8:17 PMDec 31, 8:15 PM

8128

OptionProbability

after 2036

2027

2028-9

2030-2032

2033-2036

2026

Other

31

13

13

13

13

10

8

Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?

May 13, 4:12 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12%chance

298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

85

Mustafa Suleyman out of Microsoft by EOY 2028?

Nov 12, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.19%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

M100 for best explanation why I should or should not give a shit about Microsoft trying to inundate me with Copilot

Feb 13, 10:36 PM

00

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