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Microsoft Research News
Prediction markets for Microsoft Research
Prediction markets for Microsoft Research
5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.
Dec 27, 8:16 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
13.91%
chance
28
3077
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2488
402
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
Feb 24, 11:59 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
19.71%
chance
46
3064
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1148
938
10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.
Dec 27, 8:26 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
49.59%
chance
17
1736
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1008
992
Will Bitcoin hit 200K before the release of Windows 12 in 2025
Dec 5, 11:24 AM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
25%
chance
10
414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
173
58
Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?
Jun 13, 7:39 AM
Jun 13, 8:59 PM
63.2%
chance
13
363
Option
Votes
NO
YES
989
989
Did Microsoft build a Majorana qubit?
Feb 21, 1:31 PM
Feb 21, 11:59 PM
16.89%
chance
8
255
Option
Votes
YES
NO
227
50
AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?
May 7, 5:01 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 PM
74.99%
chance
6
115
Option
Votes
NO
YES
173
58
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
24
0
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