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Prediction markets for Middle East conflict

Will I believe 2025 is a bigger news year than 2024?

Jan 4, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.52%chance

4515811

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11214

9228

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Jun 20, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.21%chance

298402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6656

150

Will there be a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal before September 2025?

Jul 28, 3:04 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

26.38%chance

251063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1671

599

Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?

Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

90.33%chance

211011

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1792

852

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

11879

OptionProbability

Space Exploration

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Geopolitics

Environment and sustainability

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Society

Art and culture

Human Rights

Economy

79

73

67

65

65

59

50

50

45

45

35

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

907

Will South Park season 27 criticize Israel or the United States' support for Israel?

Apr 2, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.69%chance

10249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

994

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?

Nov 3, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.62%chance

12228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

727

Will US troops be deployed in combat operations in an overseas conflict before end of 2030

Dec 4, 3:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.38%chance

27

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

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