Middle East war News

5 months ago

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

27%chance

3013364

OptionVotes

YES

1644

608

What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?

Jan 13, 4:09 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

616641

OptionProbability

Significant protests are reported in February and March

The US launches airstrikes

Israel and Iran go to war again

Iran strikes Israel with missiles

The rial loses 1/3 the value it had on January 1, 2026 (unofficially / on the black market)

Iran strikes US bases

The US launches airstrikes on three different days

Iran strikes US bases and kills at least one American

Ayatollah Khamenei is removed from power

The Strait of Hormuz is mined or otherwise closed

US ground troops enter Iran

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

Feb 1, 8:55 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

55%chance

22757

OptionVotes

YES

111

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.12%chance

11706

OptionVotes

YES

1486

818

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

1149

455

Will China go to war with Taiwan before Israel goes to war with a nation in the middle east

Mar 30, 12:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.91%chance

8656

OptionVotes

YES

351

180

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13389

OptionVotes

YES

1044

907

Will US strike Iran by end of 2027?

Feb 4, 6:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

8207

OptionVotes

YES

111

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Jan 2, 10:17 AMJan 2, 10:17 AM

75.67%chance

6146

OptionVotes

YES

176

USA will bomb Iran before the end of February

Feb 2, 12:18 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

23.29%chance

8128

OptionVotes

YES

181

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

25.6%chance

283

OptionVotes

YES

171

Middle East war News

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Prediction markets for Middle East war

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Will China go to war with Taiwan before Israel goes to war with a nation in the middle east

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Will US strike Iran by end of 2027?

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

USA will bomb Iran before the end of February

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

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