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Prediction markets for Midnight

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Feb 2, 5:46 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

11.83%chance

202021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2373

635

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Jan 25, 7:34 AMJan 25, 11:59 PM

10.56%chance

17922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

912

What Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)

Oct 7, 10:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

10626

OptionProbability

Add country(ies)

Relax unanimity requirements

Create Armed forces

Create Reserve like(ish) the US Federal Reserve

Remove a countries voting rights (even for a period)

Expel a country(ies)

Become a country

63

59

55

50

40

30

8

When will doomsday clock go back (time to midnight increased)?

Feb 26, 1:42 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

14472

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

48

44

36

27

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

51.33%chance

6252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

126

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.25%chance

8228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

114

What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.

Feb 21, 8:13 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8196

OptionProbability

71-80 seconds

81-87 seconds

Other

61-70 seconds

51-60 seconds

41-50 seconds

31-40 seconds

21-30 seconds

11-20 seconds

1-10 seconds

Midnight

47

29

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

1

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Oct 26, 10:34 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

16%chance

4161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.51%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

106

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

33.17%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Nov 6, 8:44 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will I receive 70 comments by August 31st, 2026 midnight so I give away a game on Steam to a Decide AI verified human.

May 28, 12:33 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

59.76%chance

432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

73

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