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Prediction markets for Midnight

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Feb 2, 5:46 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

12.06%chance

246080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2338

639

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Jan 25, 7:34 AMJan 25, 11:59 PM

10.56%chance

17922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

912

2026 Gävle Goat stand proud midnight 27th December Swedish time

Aug 27, 4:35 AMDec 27, 12:00 AM

16.26%chance

2710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

874

When will doomsday clock go back (time to midnight increased)?

Feb 26, 1:42 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

14472

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

48

44

36

27

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.52%chance

9362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

91

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Oct 26, 10:34 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

12.96%chance

5191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

25.27%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Number symbolism in US curriculum 6th grade or below, promulgatory or sceptical, before midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Nov 29, 6:22 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Canadarm2 working by midnight Christmas Eve? (ISS)

Sep 29, 12:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

76.42%chance

883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

56

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

Jul 21, 2:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

32.86%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

88

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

Jul 21, 2:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25%chance

356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

60

Abdourahamane Tiani president of Niger Midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Sep 5, 9:06 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

69.51%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

66

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