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Prediction markets for Midnight

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Feb 2, 5:46 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

13.49%chance

171533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2147

667

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Jan 25, 7:34 AMJan 25, 11:59 PM

10.42%chance

16920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

910

Will a counterexample to the Collatz conjecture be found before midnight new year 2028?

Mar 17, 4:29 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3.14%chance

7668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

626

67

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?

Feb 16, 10:04 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

42%chance

8336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

91

United Kingdom (or successor) has written codified constitution by Christmas Eve midnight 2034?

Sep 16, 7:31 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

9.6%chance

6233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

33

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.25%chance

8228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

114

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Oct 26, 10:34 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

16%chance

4161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

TV presenter Jonathan Ross differentiates his name before midnight Christmas Eve 2026?

Jan 9, 6:22 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

18.55%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Number symbolism in US curriculum 6th grade or below, promulgatory or sceptical, before midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Nov 29, 6:22 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Nov 6, 8:44 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Aug 19, 5:30 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

51.94%chance

443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.

Feb 21, 8:13 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

435

OptionProbability

81-87 seconds

Other

71-80 seconds

61-70 seconds

51-60 seconds

41-50 seconds

31-40 seconds

21-30 seconds

11-20 seconds

1-10 seconds

Midnight

51

9

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

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