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Prediction markets for Midnight

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Feb 2, 5:46 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

13.75%chance

171538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2115

672

In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?

Jan 25, 7:34 AMJan 25, 11:59 PM

10.56%chance

17922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

912

Will a counterexample to the Collatz conjecture be found before midnight new year 2028?

Mar 17, 4:29 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3.14%chance

7668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

626

67

When will doomsday clock go back (time to midnight increased)?

Feb 26, 1:42 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

14472

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

48

44

36

27

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

51.33%chance

6252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

126

United Kingdom (or successor) has written codified constitution by Christmas Eve midnight 2034?

Sep 16, 7:31 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

9.6%chance

6233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

33

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.51%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

106

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

33.17%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.

Feb 21, 8:13 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

760

OptionProbability

81-87 seconds

71-80 seconds

Other

61-70 seconds

51-60 seconds

41-50 seconds

31-40 seconds

21-30 seconds

11-20 seconds

1-10 seconds

Midnight

43

18

8

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will Doomsday Clock be between 76-83 seconds to Midnight in 2027?

Feb 26, 11:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

247

OptionProbability

Yes

No (above 83 secs)

No (below 76 secs)

49

40

11

Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Aug 19, 5:30 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

51.94%chance

443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Which guild will win the RWF in WoW Midnight season 1?

Mar 22, 9:39 PMApr 21, 8:37 PM

231

OptionProbability

Echo

Liquid

Method

60

42

42

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