OptionProbability
Trump cancels Biden's AI executive order (EO 14110)
Trump creates tariffs of 10% or more on all imports from some major country (top 10 gdp)
DOJ opens "civil rights investigations" into left-wing DA/prosecutors offices
A major war in Asia occurs
Second Muslim ban
Trump pardons at least 5 individuals convicted of crimes related to the January 6 Capitol riot
Trump and Musk will have a falling out which leads to Trump removing Musk from any government role or advisory position
Anther story / scandal about RFK and some dead wild animal comes out
Trump creates tariffs of 60% or more on all imports from some major country (top 10 gdp), and they are in place for at least a month
Polymarket becomes legal in the United States
Doug Burgum is appointed to a cabinet position
Trump uses the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport at least 5 people
Displaying the trans pride flag illegal in any part of USA
$TSLA reaches $400 a share
price of gold reaches historic maximum (last peak 2709 $/t.oz, Oct-2024 last, so it has to be above that)
Trump imposes universal tariffs of 10% or more
plays golf with some head of government/president from Europe
Elon Musk is an employee of the executive branch
Investigations of university admissions that appear to be illegally considering the race of applicants
RFK is confirmed by the Senate for any position
Trump greatly reduces, dismantles, or recommends dismantling of the US Postal service (for example via bringing back Schedule F)
Trump brings back (or attempts to bring back) Schedule F classification for civil service employees
Passports bearing X gender marker no longer issued, or not considered valid across all 50 states
Federal employees are ordered to go to work
Government shutdown
Successfully negotiate a Gaza ceasefire
Trump visits Africa
A cabinet nomination fails, is withdrawn, or has no action taken
Trump declassifies JFK files
Trump makes a public statement about UFOs / UAPs
Amtrak gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
Trump mentions "Top Trump(s)", "trump card(s)", "trumpet(s)", or "trump(ing)" (british slang for farting)
Trump gives himself a nickname in third person
Anthony Fauci is investigated by the federal government
The US leaves the World Health Organization
A Millenium Prize problem falls to a model
John Bolton indicted
A natural-born US citizen (as defined in 2024) is deported
Trump says multiple consecutive words in a foreign language (not loanwords or cognates in or from english)
Trump mentions by name any real historical figure who lived entirely in the first half of recorded history i.e. before ~550 BC
Trump gives the middle finger hand gesture
At least 10 other answers on this market resolve YES
New James Bond actor is presented
Fair elections in 2028
"The New Norm" ends
trump's episode on JRE becomes JRE's most viewed video on his chanel (YT)
Democrats have 218 or more seats in the House of Representatives
Mike Johnson is no longer House Speaker
Elon will Tweet abour $DOGE as head of DoGE
Republican lose a House seat in a special election
United States reaches 7.6 or lower in Democracy index (EIU)
Department of Defense renamed to Department of War
The Supreme Court will uphold or not revisit Obergefell v. Hodges (the constitutional right to same-sex marriage)
At least 20 other answers on this market resolve YES
Approval < 35%
Kennedy Center goes bankrupt
Trump finishes is term on Jan 20 2029 (does not step down or extends his term)
memberberries appear again in any new episode in this period on south park
doomsday clock is moved twice, regardless of direction (so far 25 times, as of Nov-2024)
Mike Johnson is no longer leader of the House Republican Conference
Complete Absence Federal Grants or Legislative packages for Long COVID research
NOAA gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
A new supreme court justice appointed
any hormone replacement therapy drug outlawed for treating gender dysphoria in any state
Senate majority flips in 2026 midterm elections
Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1
US national bitcoin reserve created
A wound will be inflict upon the soul of the American nation that shan't heal
Gavin Newsom announces his candidacy for the 28' presidential election
trump gets hospitalized
The administration recommends removing fluoride from U.S. public water systems
Vances have another kid
A former Democratic presidential nominee besides Jimmy Carter or Joe Biden dies
A person or business is charged for distributing Mifepristone or HRT under the Comstock act
plays golf with some head of government/president from Middle East
USA experiences a recession.
John Thune out as Senate Majority Leader
Trump makes no public appearances for more than 14 consecutive days
3 or more people are killed by law enforcement during a protest
there are less or equal number of member countries of the UN at the end of the term, when compared to the beginning (Nov-2024 - 193)
Bitcoin becomes a US Treasury reserve
Israel officially annexes more Western Bank territory
Trump mentions Manifold Markets, Polymarket, or Kalshi
N/A this please, pressed by mistake
Clarence Thomas is no longer a Supreme Court Justice
p diddy gets released (not an album, only official release from prison is counted)
A state openly refuses to abide by a federal supreme court ruling
Trump bans/taxes seed/vegetable oils or enacts any other negative incentive against them
FEMA gets reduced, crippled, or privatized
Samuel Alito is no longer a supreme court justice
At least 25 other answers on this market resolve YES
New
Deadly force deliberately used against protestors in the US
Trump endorses a candidate other than JD Vance in the Republican presidential primary
A measurable decrease in chronic disease
At least one cabinet officer receives a recess appointment
2% milk > $5 a gallon at my local Walmart
Severance of diplomatic relations initiated by at least one foreign country with the US
The Supreme Court will have a MAGA majority (5 Trump appointed judges) at any point
Invasion of any North/South American country by any other country
Someone in Trumps family (other than trump) runs in the 2028 GOP primaries
plays golf with some head of government/president from Korea (N.Korea included)
Trump admits that someone else is smarter than him
his endorsed option gets higher ## of votes on the election 2028
IRS investigation of Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics
Trump and Obama shake hands
Kennedy Center is repurposed
McDonald's reopens in Russia
Dow rises above 65,000
Congress overrides a presidential veto
Trump says a racial slur
Hakeem Jeffries out as house majority/minority leader
Anthony Fauci is indicted
Trump gets covid (again)
There is a cut in Social Security Disability Benefits
Missiles will be fired across the border at suspected drug labs in Mexico
US Invasion of any North/South American country
Elon Musk will become the 'secretary of cost-cutting' / efficiency commission leader / head of DOGE or similar
Trump bans a specific vaccine nationwide
The US military detonates a MOAB with at least one casualty
Tesla
transgender US passports with a gender other than that assigned at birth revoked
A federal employee goes to prison over free speech violations
2 more Democratic politicians are murdered after June 14th 2025
inflation exceeds 5% for at least two consecutive fiscal quarters
NIH -25% funded in any year vs. 2024 (inflation-adjusted)
10% fewer government agencies
US military deployed domestically against >=1 US citizen (variants of "Seal Team 6 the opposition")
BTC falls below $38,000
Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel
Ukraine controls any portion of Crimea for over a day
New national park created
Trump says anything that is pro animal rights
Trump vetoes more than 10 bills (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/vetoes/vetoCounts.htm)
Kennedy Center is demolished
Trump announces he is tired of winning
A member of the Trump family runs for Congress
Trump attempts to invoke Article 2 Section 3 to adjourn Congress
Trump makes no public appearance for more than 21 consecutive days
Constitutional Amendment
Donald Trump and Donald Tusk shake hands
The Senate invokes the "nuclear option" to bypass cloture after Sept ‘25
AGI achieved (according to Manifold's AGI clock)
Trump publishes a proscription list at least 30 names long
A member of the Trump family is elected to Congress
Russo-Ukrainian War ends
Joe Biden dies
China successfully subjugates Taiwan, whether physically or by a treaty
Another pandemic
Trump suggests that there should be a crusade (including jokes)
The ICC or ICJ issue an arrest warrant for Trump
Steve Bannon goes to prison again
China starts a physical invasion of Taiwan
Sotomayor’s seat is re-filled
<1.5 million civilian federal employees
Elon will tweet about $DOGE while running DoGE
JD Vance elected President
H5N1 Public Health Emergency of International Concern declared
American Manned Lunar Landing
MLK day gets renamed or removed as a federal holiday
Trump proposes renaming or demolishing the Kennedy SPACE Center
The department of education gets desolved
Trump mentions the Effective Altruism movement
Starship lands on Mars
Record level unemployment
Trump mentions the Rationalism movement, LessWrong, or Slate Star Codex / Astral Codex Ten
Recess appointment to SCOTUS
RFK implements his "wellness farm" plan
The google trends (worldwide) metric for "vibes" goes back to 2016 levels
Trump accurately voices a calculation that involves 2+ numbers with 2+ non-zero digits
Trump attempts to restore >10% of USAID's pre-DOGE funding
The US military executes an aggressive operation on Cuban soil
Trump dies
The Supreme Court will grant certiorari to hear at least one case challenging Griswold v. Connecticut (contraception rights)
Laura Loomer gets any government role
RFK is in charge of the FDA at any point
One or more of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Liz Cheney, or Barack Obama is indicted by the federal government
Iran acquires a nuclear weapon
Approval < 25%
Someone other than Trump is active president before Trump's term is over
Trump loses the fake tan
Trump publicly speaks with Alex Jones (e.g., on a show or hosted by him or as an advisor)
military deployed to enforce the border in Chicago or Detroit
Trump suggests lowering or abolishing the age of consent (including jokes)
NATO invokes Article 5
US Treasury 10-year bond rate > 7%
Trump gets shot
Vance resigns or is forced to leave office (threats, impeachment, coups)
south park is canceled/discontinued
Trump deports 1 million immigrants in a calendar year
"covfefe" posted again
A bill introducing single-payer healthcare system is passed by congress
Trump is seen shirtless
Trump resigns or is forced to leave office (threats, impeachment, coups)
Trump runs for a third term
Trump uses the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport at least 5 million people
Birth rate increases past 12 per 1000
Josh Shapiro wins the presidential nomination
Trump bans Lab-grown meat nationwide
Trump extends his term past 4 years
54 or more Republican senate seats
Independent Republican Caucus forms in house or senate and enters coalition with Democrats
Trump is assassinated
Cannabis is federally legalized
Trump declares war against any other nation or defacto autonomous territory
Trump threatens Israel with military action
55 or more Republican senate seats
John Roberts is no longer Chief Justice of the United States
Elon Musk assassinated or injured in an attempt
Trump loses the comb-over hairstyle
A national ban on gender-affirming care
A sex tape comes out that shows Trump thrusting energetically
Trump gives the middle finger hand gesture with both hands at once
Trump lowers or eliminates income taxes across all tax brackets
2% milk < $2 a gallon at my local Walmart
Trump will imitate Elon Musk's heartfelt salute
The cause of the drones present in December 2024 in New Jersey is known
Trump raps (says multiple lines that rhyme and fit a background music beat)
TSM stock price plunges to 60 USD
Ukraine starts a nuclear weapons program
Trump fulfills promise of giving green cards to noncitizen university graduates.
another troupe (at least 3) of monkeys escapes from Yamassee, SC (after 8-NOV-2024)
Repeal obamacare
Trump gets poisoned ends up in hospital
30 year treasury rate >15.00%
Trump mentions Leopold Aschenbrenner or his essay "Situational Awareness" in any way
Anthony Fauci goes to prison
War is declared against another nation
An amendment imposing term limits on members of congress is passed.
Trump goes to eat steak or something similar at Salt Bae's
Constitutional Amendment
Donald Trump say the n-word with or without hard r
Trump supports mask or glove mandate anywhere in the US
Trump discloses intelligent Aliens are real and on Earth. (Also counts if they were on earth but left or died out)
Barron Trump mentions barons, barrenness, bars, or bears
Trump and Melania divorce
SpaceX is nationalized
Major Yellowstone caldera scare
The construction of the Third Temple begins in Jerusalem
Ann Selzer arrested
Trump wholeheartedly apologises for something political he did without caveats or backtracking
Trump accurately quotes a Bible verse with its Book Chapter:Verse citation, verbally and without reading from a script/notes/autocue, excluding Genesis 1:1
Trump bans abortion nationwide
Trump builds a complete wall across the Mexico-US border
wants to compete for 3rd term, but due to catastrophic debate, he remains president, while the v.p. becomes the official candidate
Matt Gaetz is confirmed for any role in the executive branch of the US government
Trump drinks a beer
Trump bans all vaccines nationwide
Trump enacts jus primae noctis
Anthony Fauci is convicted
A hurricane will be nuked
New US national anthem
Trump forces Ivanka to divorce Jared and marry either Vance or Musk
Trump says "Vriska did nothing wrong"
Jimmy Carter dies
Trump publicly approves of Project 2025, before 2026
Matt Gaetz is rejected by the Senate for Attorney General, then DeSantis appoints him to Rubio's vacated Senate seat
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
91
90
90
90
90
90
90
89
87
86
85
83
83
82
80
78
77
77
76
76
73
72
71
71
71
71
70
70
69
68
68
65
65
65
65
64
63
63
62
61
59
59
58
56
55
55
55
54
50
50
50
48
47
47
47
47
45
43
42
42
42
41
41
41
41
40
40
39
39
37
37
36
35
35
35
34
34
34
34
33
33
33
32
32
31
30
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
27
27
27
26
25
25
25
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
22
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
18
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min
3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour
Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water
Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour
Use tap water instead of fancy RO water
put butter into it
Toast the bread
Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.
Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need
Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)
Half yeast
Bake it with your best friend.
Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread
Bake for 5 more minutes
Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)
Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake
Increase water by 50 g
it needs more salt
Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.
Diastatic malt (~1% baker's percentage) = happier yeast
Serve the bread hot
Use Iodized salt
Do a second rise
Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter
Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread
Add garlic
Use sourdough instead of yeast
Sprinkle sesame seeds evenly over the top
don't eat anything for at least 2400 hours before eating the bread
Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.
Cut into the dough right before baking looks destructive to improve the appearance
Sell your bread at an auction and donate the money to those in immigration detention prisons.
Do it with a good spirit in your heart, or ask someone with a good spirit to do it for you. But don’t watch while they do it.
Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake
Just freeze the ready bread, then slowly bake it until it’s hot inside. It will give you a crustier crumb, contain less moisture, and taste better.
Strawberry jelly filling
Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option
Add an amount of non-smoked paprika equal to the current salt content
Short advice: Start baking at 260°C for strong rise, then reduce to 230°C and uncover halfway to achieve even browning and a crisp crust. 🍞
Don't automatically "Heat water to 30±1 °C". Instead, aim for a desired dough temperature (DDT) of 25-26°C. 30°C water is too hot for summer, and potentially too cool for winter.
Use the same dough bake it as focaccia. Flat with EVOO added during shaped rise and baste with EVOO instead of spraying water during baking.
put ketchup and cheese on it
Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread
Add slurs to it
Make all of the ingredients from scratch.
Ask ChatGPT (GPT-5, with thinking enabled) for suggestions on improving the bread, with this market description, then do all of them.
Get recipe from gemini with experiments done, taste preference, then confirm it with chatgpt for final suggestion.
Try baking a little more "bien cuit". If the image is indicative, your loaves may be quite "blonde".
Substitute 75 g of your flour with spelt flour
Make the bread taste good
Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.
Invest in a "Bakers Steel" for better heat retention and oven spring. It would mean graduating from a dutch oven though.
If your city uses artesian water, replace plastic bottled water with tap water. It will add natural, healthy alkalinity to your bread.
throw your recipe into a black box Bayesian hyperparameter optimization framework and iterate as necessary (see the Google Vizier Cookie Recipe paper for example
Watch the video
Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video
Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h
Use lemonade instead of water.
Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face
Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0
Throw the bread at a telescope
Cut bread into loaves before serving
Cut bread into ≤0.4inch slices, toast before serving
Invite your taste-testers to make the bread with you
Tarriff the bread-making process with a 10% reduction of all ingredients where actual physical money is required to purchase them, until it “shrinkflates,” but try to keep the same volume. Do not reduce any free ingredients.
Standardize a separate list of process features to keep track of independently of all other tests and use the cross entropy method to tune them to maximize your bread preference
Taste the bread
put oats on top of the dough just before baking, press them in so they don't fall off
Buy chemical bread improvers
Add 6.25±1.25 g lemon juice when mixing in water to yeast and salt jug
add 'gunpowder' (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Idli_podi)
Make banana bread
Add 1/2 scoop whey protein powder
Replace part of the flour in the dough with freshly crushed hemp seeds. It will make the bread a little bit sweeter, especially appealing for Canadians.
Add cheese inside it and also sausage
Add melatonin to the bread and eat before you sleep (do safely)
Eat it slowly and focus on the taste
While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana
Use a food-grade, human-approved vitamin D supplement in the correct dosage for testers with vitamin D deficiency
Use a convection oven/setting
Keep the bread in a high quality expensive beeswax coated textile bag
Complete 5 items from your to-do list while the bread is rising
Make the bread great again
Mix only flour and water. Wait 30–60 minutes. Then mix in yeast and salt.
Add caffeine to the bread
Use soda instead of water (clear, orange, yellow, etc. soda is ok. Don’t use a purple/brown soda as that would make it not look good)
Butter resolved yes twice. Double butter again.
Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)
Give Gemini your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake
Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread
Make the bread edible then throw it in
Drink vodka while eating the bread
Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon
Do FOLDED
Quit Manifold into the bread.
Kill the bread into Manifold.
Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.
Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.
Add 2 tbsp vanilla cake mix
Replace AP with bread flour and cruelly mix the dough in the mixer until elastic and not sticky
Add a tablespoon of sugar
Bake one more minute
Follow a recipe online
Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)
Instead of RO water, use lightly rusty water to improve the nutritional value of the bread with soluble iron.
Add at least 20% chic pea flour or some other type of high protein flour
Knead it only 10 times, keep it round like this number
Ask yourself if bread is healthier than fruits? No need to improve my bread
Bake for 15 more minutes
Resolve at least one thing here yes or no while baking bread
A system view is more appropriate. This is a dynamic, multi-variate, biological and chemical system. For e.g. conditioning salt % AND yeast % AND water temperature based on ingredient and ambient temps.
Wear a suit while baking the cake.
Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread
Replace salt with sugar
replace 10% of flour with farina bona
Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price
Only buy ingredients from 7/11.
Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.
Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture
Replace 10% of flour with milled wheat bran
Slowly add sawdust to the bread until your friends start to notice.
Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of gravy that includes chicken stock
Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.
Replace 600+/-5g water with 600+/-50g water (eyeball rather than carefully measure)
Pray to your preferred agricultural/food deity before baking and before eating
Soak the finished product in vinegar for 24 hours
Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.
Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.
Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.
Give the bread a name in a ritual ceremony and baptise it, with pre-blessed holy water if a priest isn't available
Improve the bread
Quadruple salt
Combine all answers that are unresolved at the time you try this one
Bake your social security number into it.
Bake one fewer minute
Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.
Test/filter the water for heavy metals
Eat the bread in front of the White House.
Implement all options that resolved NO
Make the bread inedible then throw it out.
Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump
Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump
Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.
make the bread bounce
Implementing every element listed below.
Just make donuts instead
Bake it in an easy bake kids oven
Use a plastic baking sheet.
Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold
Double oven temperature
Bake the bread very thin and add food coloring to make it have the US flag. Don’t allow it to touch the ground, illuminate at night, fold 13 times properly, and pledge allegiance before eating.
Don’t use usual water (room temperature) for the dough - that water’s only for toilets. Use electrolyte drinks instead with ice cubes; they make the dough taste better and add extra nutrition.
Light it on fire with birthday candles.
Bake it with a microwave
Halve oven temperature
Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold
Step on it
Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it
Bake America Great Again
Sacrifice a lamb
Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice
Bake in a cat and a dog
Explode it:
5 parts cyanide/ 1 part water/ 1 part sand
say 6 7 67 times before making the bread
Take a fat dump in the dough
Sit in dough 24 hrs
Replace flour with flowers
Let dough sit 24 hrs
Mix half sodium/potassium chloride
Add 2g? of baking soda
Bake in rectangular tin
Add 50g vital wheat gluten
double yeast
halve salt
Double salt
Add 2tsp olive oil
Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait
Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through
Do not mix salt and yeast in water together
Autolyse 20 minutes
Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge
Think positive thoughts before tasting
Put fork in microwave
Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread
Add 2tbsp vanilla extract
Play classical music while baking
Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread
Add a pinch of sugar
Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven
Eat the bread with friends
Bake vegimite into it.
Bake vodka into it
Bake it in the country you were born in.
Let dough sit 48 hrs
Resolve this option YES while eating the bread
Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket
Eat the bread over the course of a week.
Bake for 5 fewer minutes
Use 50% whole grain flour
Bake the bread with love
Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose
Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)
More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.
Resolve this option NO while eating the bread
Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)
Add 50g sugar
Add 50g honey
Swap 200ml water for milk
Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.
Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.
Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content
Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.
Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump
Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.
Add banana
Add poppy seeds
Replace some of the water with an egg (eg. remove 25g of water for a 50g egg)
Only use tap water from specifically New York City
Want to improve the value of your bread? Simply bake a piece of gold into it
Brush on an egg wash
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
89
85
85
81
80
80
80
79
78
78
73
72
72
72
71
71
69
67
67
66
63
62
61
59
59
58
58
57
57
56
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
46
46
46
45
45
43
43
42
38
38
37
37
36
36
36
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
33
32
31
31
31
30
29
29
28
27
26
26
26
23
22
22
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
18
18
16
16
15
15
15
14
14
13
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
before the end of 2030
before the end of 2029
before the end of 2028
before the end of 2027
before the end of 2026
before the end of 2024
before the end of 2025
65
59
58
50
8
0
0
OptionProbability
words are wind
Blackfyre
tragedy/tragedies
song of ice and fire
milk of the poppy
glass candle
prince who was promised
moon blood/moon’s blood
Tyrek
nuncle
dark wings, dark words
biscuit/biscuits
winds of winter
Trial of Seven
dagged sleeves
Alicent
Aerion
Rhaenyra
quorking
Dark Sister
radiant
fratricide
deicide
sneeze/sneezes/sneezed/sneezing
Saera
house of the dragon
hard-bitten
week/weeks/weekly
damask
Essos
Doreah
rice
turkey
joke/jokes/joked/joking
cute/cuter/cutest
crocodile(s)
anon
faceless woman
insipid
slayer of lies
there must always be a Stark in Winterfell
delve (any form)
Elmo
hello
nipples on a breastplate
97
92
89
84
84
82
81
81
73
69
69
66
64
57
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
42
41
41
41
41
35
34
34
34
34
32
30
OptionVotes
YES
NO
323
31
OptionVotes
YES
NO
984
887
OptionVotes
YES
NO
109
92
OptionVotes
YES
NO
189
102
OptionVotes
NO
YES
90
89
OptionProbability
NO
YES
99
81
OptionVotes
NO
YES
100
100
