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Prediction markets for Minecraft

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?

Aug 26, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.78%chance

13544189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1595

627

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

85%chance

8420890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2380

420

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?

Sep 27, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

278799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Aug 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.34%chance

326197

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1578

634

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?

Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.91%chance

163619

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

641

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.56%chance

383542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

915

Humanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?

Nov 13, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.45%chance

283516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

824

Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?

Apr 24, 7:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.46%chance

372593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1322

852

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79%chance

61726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

516

Will Minecraft still be the best-selling video game by the end of 2026?

Dec 17, 6:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.73%chance

211690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2236

722

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.89%chance

13698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

700

Will I manage to find the save files of an old Minecraft server I used to play on? [M$50,000 bounty]

Dec 3, 9:10 PMFeb 1, 9:06 PM

36.82%chance

4310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1310

763

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