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Prediction markets for Minecraft

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?

Aug 26, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

14249124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

69.99%chance

8526818

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1527

655

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?

Sep 27, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

289117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1883

531

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Aug 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.21%chance

336347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1400

714

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.32%chance

394093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

955

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?

Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.91%chance

163619

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

641

Humanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?

Nov 13, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.45%chance

283516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

824

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79%chance

61726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

516

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028?

Dec 6, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.82%chance

71448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2077

482

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.89%chance

15839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

640

Officially-endorsed Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2028?

Dec 17, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.55%chance

4266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

859

Officially-endorsed Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2027?

Dec 17, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.15%chance

4247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

819

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