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Prediction markets for Minecraft

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?

Sep 27, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13%chance

88196021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2587

387

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?

Aug 26, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.17%chance

18363262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1789

560

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.81%chance

10421639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

919

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Aug 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.87%chance

6114983

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2691

372

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Dec 18, 8:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

84.6%chance

11110306

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2025

743

Humanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?

Nov 13, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.8%chance

425222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1245

803

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.45%chance

274461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2941

343

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028?

Dec 6, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.26%chance

183469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1984

504

What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?

Oct 17, 10:05 PMOct 17, 10:04 PM

193142

OptionProbability

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes

All Millennium Prize Problems Solved

82

18

Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?

Apr 24, 7:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.28%chance

403071

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

671

Minecraft RSG no-reset average time by AI below 25 min before EOY 2028?

Jul 28, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.75%chance

71571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1537

793

Officially-endorsed Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2028?

Dec 17, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.98%chance

7672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

799

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