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Prediction markets for Minecraft

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?

Aug 26, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.98%chance

15352246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

655

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

74%chance

8828207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1687

593

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?

Sep 27, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.87%chance

5419095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2602

384

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Aug 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42%chance

4810281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Dec 18, 8:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.19%chance

10910199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2088

732

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27.87%chance

557525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1609

622

Humanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?

Nov 13, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.02%chance

384424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?

Apr 24, 7:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.51%chance

392644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1369

837

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

82%chance

102318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

469

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028?

Dec 6, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.27%chance

112236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2556

391

Minecraft RSG no-reset average time by AI below 25 min before EOY 2028?

Jul 28, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.81%chance

5715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1730

744

Officially-endorsed Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2028?

Dec 17, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.93%chance

6622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

832

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