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Prediction markets for Minecraft

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?

Aug 26, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.79%chance

15151898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1574

636

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

72.87%chance

8628116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1639

610

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Aug 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.29%chance

4610250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

821

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Dec 18, 8:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.19%chance

10910199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2088

732

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.1%chance

525802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

735

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?

Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

69.97%chance

184299

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1526

655

Humanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?

Nov 13, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

323843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

800

Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?

Apr 24, 7:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.53%chance

382594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

853

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028?

Dec 6, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.27%chance

112236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2556

391

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.21%chance

221742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2130

474

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

78.94%chance

71727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1936

517

Officially-endorsed Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2028?

Dec 17, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.92%chance

6621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1202

832

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