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Prediction markets for Mines

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025?

Aug 11, 9:50 AMDec 15, 11:59 PM

48.02%chance

3961524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104046

96111

Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?

Feb 10, 12:05 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

49.93%chance

19716196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3154

2273

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?

Apr 8, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

454105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

906

Will asteroid mining ever be profitable before 2050?

Feb 11, 7:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.36%chance

211434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1349

287

Will someone mine bitcoin on mars before 2080

Mar 28, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.12%chance

20940

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

578

Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?

Aug 14, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.24%chance

19739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

969

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Mar 1, 2026?

Aug 15, 11:46 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

61.56%chance

3581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

790

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Nov 1, 2025?

Aug 15, 11:58 AMNov 3, 12:59 AM

39.78%chance

7464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

813

Will 1 ton of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2075?

Apr 5, 6:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.98%chance

15413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

951

Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?

Apr 23, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.76%chance

13355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

971

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Feb 1, 2026?

Aug 15, 11:46 AMFeb 3, 4:59 AM

59.1%chance

3220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Jan 1, 2026?

Aug 15, 11:47 AMJan 3, 12:00 AM

56.99%chance

2171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

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